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mahokid
Traveler


Joined: 05/15/11
Posts: 197
Re: Hurricane WARNING for St. Martin/St. Maarten [Re: Bahston]
      #1742658 - 09/04/17 11:36 PM (72.252.9.226)

Crazy at airport today with so many people waiting on standby for already booked flights.
So some unknown reason American added a early morning flight
to Miami. Wife booked last 2 seats with some kindness from the sales agent at American.
Faith helped us find out about this flight.
Donated about $200.00 worth of food to friends that are riding it out. Had enough food, water and alcohol for several days, never even got to the cured meats, fish pates and cheeses. Certainly will miss several planned restaurants.
Our thoughts and prayers are now for those staying on the island.
Hope to have our first 9 days journal soon.


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jmbcomms
Traveler


Joined: 04/10/02
Posts: 5725
Loc: New England (home), St. Maarte...
5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: Carol_Hill]
      #1742664 - 09/05/17 05:19 AM (73.167.75.90)


000
WTNT31 KNHC 050846
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2017

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRMA HEADING FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WITH 150
MPH WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 57.0W
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
Dominica.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy
* British Virgin Islands
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. In this case, for some of easternmost islands, the
hurricane conditions are expected within the next 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within 36
hours.

Interests in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, Cuba, and the southeastern and central Bahamas should
monitor the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Irma was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 57.0 West. Irma is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the
west-northwest tonight. On the forecast track, the core of Irma
will move near or over portions of the northern Leeward Islands
tonight and early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 150 mph (240 km/h)
with higher gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter
plane is scheduled to be in the eye of Irma within the hour.

Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day
or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4
hurricane.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 937 mb (27.67 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
breaking waves will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet
above normal tide levels along the coasts of the extreme northern
Leeward Islands within the hurricane warning area near and to the
north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach
the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the
time of high tide...

British and U.S. Virgin Islands except St. Croix...4 to 6 ft
Northern coast of Puerto Rico...2 to 4 ft
Southern coast of Puerto Rico and St. Croix...1 to 2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area by tonight, with tropical storm conditions
beginning later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected within
the tropical storm warning area where hurricane conditions are also
possible.

RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches across
the northern Leeward Islands, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands,
and Puerto Rico. These rainfall amounts may cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

SURF: Swells generated by Irma will affect the northern Leeward
Islands, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands
during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

--------------------
Jeff Berger
Visiting SXM Since 1978


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RichnSandyNC
Traveler


Joined: 01/25/03
Posts: 50
Loc: Topsail Island, NC
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: jmbcomms]
      #1742665 - 09/05/17 05:34 AM (71.1.31.162)

I just read the 5:00 AM advisory as well. As noted in Jeff's post, maximum winds have increased to 150 MPH with this strength wind now expanding out to 45 miles (larger than the previous 35 mile core). Unfortunately, the latest track, which by now should be deadly accurate, has moved south a bit; earlier tracks had the eye passing north of Anguilla. Now the path directly hits the island in the middle. Given the wind speed projections, it looks as if all of SXM will be hit with these highest wind speeds.

The very thing we were all hoping not to happen appears to be a certainty. Not good at all.


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sxmmartini
Traveler


Joined: 04/16/05
Posts: 5615
Loc: Long Island, New York
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: jmbcomms]
      #1742666 - 09/05/17 06:23 AM (67.82.202.112)



I have no words, just tears...


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sasasal
Traveler


Joined: 03/09/17
Posts: 182
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: sxmmartini]
      #1742669 - 09/05/17 06:48 AM (24.102.161.71)

ok. Bye bye house.... This is devastating for sure... And No one will be able to recover as there will be no electric, or water... I hope that most were able to prepare as best they could. We can not, as we are here stressing..

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PelicanPirate
Traveler


Joined: 08/03/12
Posts: 704
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: RichnSandyNC]
      #1742670 - 09/05/17 07:16 AM (98.29.235.208)

Please listen to official warnings and forecasters.

As an amateur, I was seeing it going south of Sxm with this aviation software plotting software I have days ago, despite the "expert models" saying going north.

I predict, Montserrat and Guadalupe straight on.

SXM is 95nm north of the eye in my plot and may get the edges. Storm would have to turn 13 degrees to the right for eye to hit Sxm.

That said any turm to the north is worse for Sxm.

This is a well defined storm. Now a CAT 5

Praying for structures to hold up to protect people. The rest can be cleaned up and repaired.

Edited by PelicanPirate (09/05/17 08:09 AM)


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Jim_Laraine
Traveler


Joined: 01/06/06
Posts: 272
Loc: Kent Island Maryland
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: sasasal]
      #1742671 - 09/05/17 07:19 AM (137.103.86.8)

According to Island 92, most businesses are closed today. Restaurants must close by 5pm. Restaurants inside hotels can stay open. Curfew starts at 8pm tonight.

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ruralcarrierModerator
Moderator


Joined: 03/31/01
Posts: 12528
Loc: Ohio
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: Jim_Laraine]
      #1742672 - 09/05/17 07:30 AM (24.209.195.61)

Daily Herald Article

--------------------
J.D.


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sxmmartini
Traveler


Joined: 04/16/05
Posts: 5615
Loc: Long Island, New York
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: Jim_Laraine]
      #1742675 - 09/05/17 07:48 AM (67.82.202.112)

***Schools Closed on Tuesday. Curfew as of 8.00PM on Tuesday***

GREAT BAY, Sint Maarten (DCOMM) Prime Minister William Marlin on Monday afternoon chaired his third Emergency Operations Center (EOC) meeting where he was briefed by various Emergency Support Function (ESFs) coordinators with respect to national preparations for the arrival of Hurricane Irma.

The country is now under a Hurricane Warning as of 11.00AM on Monday morning. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area.

This warning is issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

School Closure Status:
Schools are closed on Tuesday, September 5 until further notice.

Government Closure:
Government offices are closed on Tuesday, September 5 until further notice. Emergency services will operate as normal. Essential services will operate as they prepare for the arrival and passage of Hurricane Irma.

Business Closure Status:
It is mandatory that all businesses including casinos close at 12.00 PM on Tuesday, September 5, with the exception of Supermarkets, Hardware stores, Restaurants, Pharmacies, Gas stations, and Bakeries, which are allowed to remain open until 5.00 PM on Tuesday, September 5, as they provide essential services/products in preparing for the hurricane.

Only restaurants on hotel properties are allowed to remain open after 5.00PM. Hotels are advised to make arrangements for staff at the property.

Curfew:
A curfew will be in effect as of 8.00 PM on Tuesday, September 5 until the passing of the hurricane and the damage assessment has been completed. Everybody should be off the road by that time.


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boucharda
Traveler


Joined: 12/01/04
Posts: 2939
Loc: Massachusetts
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: jmbcomms]
      #1742676 - 09/05/17 07:51 AM (173.239.210.18)

Now Cat 5

Quote:


7:45 AM AST Tue Sep 5
Location: 16.7N 57.7W
Moving: W at 14 mph
Min pressure: 929 mb
Max sustained: 175 mph




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