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Carol_HillAdministrator
Administrator


Joined: 08/01/00
Posts: 63685
Loc: Central Florida!
Re: Hurricane WARNING for St. Martin/St. Maarten [Re: mahokid]
      #1742679 - 09/05/17 07:58 AM (107.77.253.3)

So glad for you, that you were able to get out.. Prayers and best wishes to all on the island..

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sasasal
Traveler


Joined: 03/09/17
Posts: 184
Re: 5 am Tuesday Advisory [Re: boucharda]
      #1742681 - 09/05/17 08:03 AM (24.102.161.71)

Category 5????? How the heck will the Island survive this? and god forbid it stalls... The very worst possible has now become a reality... Is this another luis? Will never forget that ever.

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Eric_HillAdministrator
Administrator


Joined: 08/01/00
Posts: 11158
Re: Hurricane Irma, 9-5 8am advisory [Re: Carol_Hill]
      #1742682 - 09/05/17 08:03 AM (107.77.253.3)

Hurricane Irma Special Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2017

This special advisory is being issued to increase the initial and
forecast intensity of Irma.

NOAA and U.S. Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft have recently
measured peak flight-level winds of around 170 kt and SFMR winds
of around 150 kt. Based on these data the initial intensity has
been increased to 150 kt, making Irma an extremely dangerous
category 5 hurricane. Some additional strengthening is still
possible, but fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next
couple of days due to eyewall replacement cycles.

No change was made to the previous track or wind radii forecast.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Irma is expected to affect the northeastern Leeward Islands as
an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane, accompanied by
life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall. Hurricane warnings
are in effect for portions of the Leeward Islands. Preparations
should be rushed to completion, as tropical-storm force winds are
expected to first arrive in the hurricane warning area later today.

2. Irma is also expected to affect the British and U.S. Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico as a dangerous major hurricane beginning
tomorrow, with life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall.
Hurricane warnings have been issued for these areas, and tropical-
storm-force winds are expected to arrive in these areas by early
tomorrow.

3. Irma could directly affect Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the
Bahamas, and Cuba as an extremely dangerous major hurricane later
this week. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of
Irma and listen to advice given by officials.

4. There is an increasing chance of seeing some impacts from Irma in
the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys later this week and this
weekend. Otherwise, it is still too early to determine what direct
impacts Irma might have on the continental United States. However,
everyone in hurricane-prone areas should ensure that they have their
hurricane plan in place.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1200Z 16.7N 57.7W 150 KT 175 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 17.0N 58.9W 155 KT 180 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 17.7N 61.5W 150 KT 175 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 18.6N 64.2W 145 KT 165 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 19.6N 67.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
72H 08/0600Z 21.2N 72.5W 135 KT 155 MPH
96H 09/0600Z 22.4N 77.2W 135 KT 155 MPH
120H 10/0600Z 24.0N 81.0W 130 KT 150 MPH

--------------------
Eric Hill
TTOL Shop


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BobNLiz
Traveler


Joined: 01/12/06
Posts: 128
Re: Hurricane Irma, 9-5 8am advisory [Re: Eric_Hill]
      #1742684 - 09/05/17 08:14 AM (74.119.86.70)

Praying for our little island and more importantly the wonderful people who inhabit it.... Crying inside and just had to post something

Liz


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RICKnGRACE_LI_NY
Traveler


Joined: 04/21/01
Posts: 1420
Loc: Long Island, NY
Re: Hurricane Irma, 9-5 8am advisory [Re: BobNLiz]
      #1742686 - 09/05/17 08:19 AM (67.86.221.25)

Godspeed SXM. You are all in our thoughts and prayers.

--------------------
Rick and Grace


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satch74
Traveler


Joined: 11/27/15
Posts: 20
Re: Hurricane WARNING for St. Martin/St. Maarten [Re: RichnSandyNC]
      #1742687 - 09/05/17 08:19 AM (174.91.27.80)

OMG...now Cat 5. Stay safe everyone...EVERYONE!!

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luvitinsxm
Traveler


Joined: 03/09/15
Posts: 33
Loc: Georgia
Re: Hurricane Irma, 9-5 8am advisory [Re: BobNLiz]
      #1742688 - 09/05/17 08:21 AM (75.138.66.176)

This storm is unbelievable. It could very well be far more devastating than Luis. With maximum sustained winds at 175 mph it's inconceivable what the damage could be. We are just keeping everyone down there in our prayers.

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BeachKitten
Traveler


Joined: 11/01/09
Posts: 1417
Loc: Maryland/DC Metro
Re: Hurricane WARNING for St. Martin/St. Maarten [Re: Carol_Hill]
      #1742690 - 09/05/17 08:27 AM (96.231.206.165)

Friends on Anguilla are EXTREMELY concerned!!
They spent the weekend selling and installing generators.

I am so worried for everyone.

--------------------
"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" ;)



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GaryV
Traveler


Joined: 02/22/01
Posts: 531
Loc: Novi, Michigan
Re: Hurricane WARNING for St. Martin/St. Maarten [Re: Carol_Hill]
      #1742691 - 09/05/17 08:27 AM (97.70.73.236)

I found this web site several years ago, storm carib . I've found it to be the best site for tracking hurricanes throughout the Caribbean. You can see how close a hurricane is predicted to come to any island, as well as local postings of individual warnings from several islands.

--------------------
Gary V

[url=http://www.TickerFactory.com/]

[/url]


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BeachKitten
Traveler


Joined: 11/01/09
Posts: 1417
Loc: Maryland/DC Metro
Re: Hurricane WARNING for St. Martin/St. Maarten [Re: GaryV]
      #1742694 - 09/05/17 08:40 AM (96.231.206.165)

Gary, thanks. That letter that Dave wrote is spot on. Our forecasters in the US aren't mentioning the Caribbean except in passing, or related to Puerto Rico. If Puerto Rico takes a hit...they won't recover economically. Already bankrupt. No electricity for MONTHS if it goes out.

--------------------
"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" ;)



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