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irina
Traveler


Joined: 08/15/00
Posts: 2272
Loc: MIA
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: Carol_Hill]
      #1742283 - 09/01/17 10:09 AM (136.28.35.128)

People are already deep into preparation. No dry dock. Friends are on stand by list.
Bread, milk and booze are being bought. Generator filled. Branches being cut off.
This is real people. Even in Miami it's taken note.
Good Luck to us.
irina


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Carol_HillAdministrator
Administrator


Joined: 08/01/00
Posts: 63677
Loc: Central Florida!
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: irina]
      #1742284 - 09/01/17 10:15 AM (47.192.5.2)

Agreed, this one could be really bad. And best wishes to those in Texas and Louisiana, reeling from Harvey.

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DonLinda
Traveler


Joined: 03/17/03
Posts: 1684
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: Carol_Hill]
      #1742288 - 09/01/17 10:53 AM (24.243.49.233)

This model has it veering north....we all hope it is correct.

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_alt.cgi?a=atlatrop_slp

--------------------
SXM links and trip reports


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Carol_HillAdministrator
Administrator


Joined: 08/01/00
Posts: 63677
Loc: Central Florida!
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: DonLinda]
      #1742289 - 09/01/17 11:02 AM (47.192.5.2)

It appears, according to the 11 AM Discussion on the NHC website, that there are two distinct groups of thought on Irma, one taking it more north and one staying south.

"There is a noticeable clustering of guidance by day 5, with the ECMWF, HWRF and
corrected-consensus models to the south, and the UKMET, GFS, CTC and
HMON to the north. Since Irma is forecast to be a vertically deep
cyclone, it seems more likely to respond to the northerly flow from
the upper-level low, which leads me to believe the track will be on
the southern side of the guidance. Thus, the forecast will stay
similar to the previous one, very close to the southern cluster
mentioned above. "


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sasasal
Traveler


Joined: 03/09/17
Posts: 184
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: Carol_Hill]
      #1742291 - 09/01/17 11:50 AM (24.102.161.71)

This is not looking good at all... We have a house on Island, and my husband is already thinking of damage.. Just put a new roof on last winter, that could be the first to go with high winds... Rain is not so bad, but winds are very damaging... Hope we get a miracle with this monster... Stressed is not the word, but hope everyone stays safe.....

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Jim_Laraine
Traveler


Joined: 01/06/06
Posts: 272
Loc: Kent Island Maryland
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: sasasal]
      #1742292 - 09/01/17 11:58 AM (137.103.86.8)

Here is one more source from Boat US.

http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/trackin...17#.WamDIsh96Uk


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lindsayjones
Member


Joined: 09/01/17
Posts: 1
Loc: st. louis, missouri
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: DonLinda]
      #1742293 - 09/01/17 12:05 PM (96.35.146.243)

i hope irma shifts north really quick and fizzles out. thinking of all of you in the pathway. my husband and i are set to visit st. maarten next thrusday....

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sasasal
Traveler


Joined: 03/09/17
Posts: 184
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: lindsayjones]
      #1742300 - 09/01/17 01:28 PM (24.102.161.71)

tiss the season... High risk. All it takes is one major hurricane to be remembered for years.. Been going to St.M for many years, and every year we fear the big one... Louis was a huge hurricane that caused not just damage but shutting down the Island. If this monster passes over? only hope is how fast it travel. If it sits on the Islands!!!!! big destruction... I know way ahead of the game, but very realistic. This one is scary..

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irina
Traveler


Joined: 08/15/00
Posts: 2272
Loc: MIA
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: sasasal]
      #1742306 - 09/01/17 02:52 PM (136.28.35.128)

Hi Sasasal,

It's Luis not Louis that caused all that damage.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Luis
Good Luck
irina


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boucharda
Traveler


Joined: 12/01/04
Posts: 2940
Loc: Massachusetts
Re: Hurricane IRMA [Re: DonLinda]
      #1742308 - 09/01/17 03:14 PM (173.239.216.9)

To me that model looks like it is a hit on SXM and adjacent islands. The eye doesn't have to pass over the island to cause severs damage

Edited by boucharda (09/01/17 03:17 PM)


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