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Travel and Vacation Forums >> St. Maarten - St. Martin

PKwx
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Joined: 10/12/02
Posts: 156
Loc: Philly
(69.249.242.189)
Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position
      09/03/17 08:50 AM

This is not the time for conjecture from arm chair meteorologists. At some point a single model or even a single model run is going to display a disaster scenario at sometime for someone. The forecast put out the the NHC are based on many model runs and model types, model performance history and the lasted data. A team of Hurricane meteorologists and scientists deliberate and come to consensus on the forecast because lives and economies are at stake based on their forecasts. There is reason why their forecast only goes out 5-days and they draw an uncertainty cone. They are not media weather announcers or meteorologist looking to say I got the location of the landfall right before anybody else.

Just read the technical forecast discussion that goes into the forecast http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/030849.shtml?

Yes, it looks ominous for St Martin and preparation is advised. But still a lot of uncertainty as to the radius of effect as its such a compact storm. The East Coast, the odds the US is in play verses going out to sea are increasing. Its the peak of Hurricane season, we should be prepared, plan and have a Plan B but not panic.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin sxmmartini 08/30/17 05:47 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin PelicanPirate   09/03/17 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin RICKnGRACE_LI_NY   09/04/17 07:01 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin mahokid   09/04/17 07:45 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/04/17 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Jim_Laraine   09/04/17 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin PelicanPirate   09/04/17 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin sxmmartini   09/04/17 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/04/17 08:24 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin PelicanPirate   09/04/17 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin sasasal   09/04/17 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/04/17 08:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin sasasal   09/04/17 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/04/17 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin kim   09/04/17 09:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin BeachKitten   09/04/17 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/04/17 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin sasasal   09/04/17 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Rasputin   09/04/17 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin blackmercedes   09/04/17 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin sasasal   09/04/17 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin sasasal   09/04/17 09:38 AM
. * * Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/03/17 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Kennys   09/03/17 06:34 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/03/17 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin pat   09/03/17 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin moxie   09/03/17 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin DavidinChelseaMA   09/03/17 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin SXMWendell   09/03/17 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin SXMWendell   09/03/17 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Rasputin   09/03/17 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin SXMWendell   09/03/17 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin pat   09/03/17 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin Carol_HillAdministrator   09/03/17 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane WATCH issued for St. Maarten/St. Martin SXMWendell   09/03/17 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Carol_HillAdministrator   08/31/17 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sasasal   08/31/17 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sxmmartini   09/01/17 07:46 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sxmmartini   08/31/17 05:48 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Carol_HillAdministrator   08/31/17 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sail2wind   08/31/17 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA NickR   08/31/17 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA DavidinChelseaMA   09/01/17 06:11 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Carol_HillAdministrator   09/01/17 08:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA irina   09/01/17 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Carol_HillAdministrator   09/01/17 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA DonLinda   09/01/17 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA boucharda   09/01/17 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sasasal   09/01/17 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Carol_HillAdministrator   09/01/17 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA irina   09/01/17 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sail2wind   09/01/17 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA DavidinChelseaMA   09/02/17 07:51 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA soualigacapt   09/02/17 07:58 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sxmmartini   09/02/17 02:00 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sasasal   09/02/17 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sxmmartini   09/02/17 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Alysonma   09/02/17 11:18 PM
. * * Moring Stuff About Irma's Position jmbcomms   09/03/17 06:50 AM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position sasasal   09/03/17 08:17 AM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position soualigacapt   09/03/17 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position Jim_Laraine   09/03/17 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position PKwx   09/03/17 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position Carol_HillAdministrator   09/03/17 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position irina   09/03/17 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position Eric_HillAdministrator   09/03/17 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position sail2wind   09/03/17 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position Eric_HillAdministrator   09/03/17 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position jerber160   09/03/17 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position sasasal   09/03/17 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position sxmmartini   09/03/17 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Moring Stuff About Irma's Position boucharda   09/03/17 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA RICKnGRACE_LI_NY   09/03/17 06:49 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Carol_HillAdministrator   09/03/17 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA GaKaye   09/02/17 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sasasal   09/02/17 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA GaKaye   09/02/17 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sxmmartini   09/02/17 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Eric_HillAdministrator   09/02/17 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA bdeeley   09/01/17 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA lindsayjones   09/01/17 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sasasal   09/01/17 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA irina   09/01/17 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Carol_HillAdministrator   09/01/17 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sasasal   09/01/17 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA Jim_Laraine   09/01/17 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane IRMA sxmmartini   09/01/17 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm IRMA jmbcomms   08/31/17 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm IRMA sxmmartini   08/30/17 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm IRMA sxmmartini   08/31/17 07:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm IRMA GaKaye   08/31/17 08:39 AM
. * * Re: 93L needs to be watched carefully sxmmartini   08/30/17 08:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L needs to be watched carefully Bobcat   08/30/17 08:38 AM
. * * Re: 93L needs to be watched carefully sxmmartini   08/30/17 08:44 AM
. * * Re: 93L needs to be watched carefully Jim_Laraine   08/30/17 08:49 AM
. * * Re: 93L needs to be watched carefully Eric_HillAdministrator   08/30/17 08:59 AM

Travel and Vacation Forums >> St. Maarten - St. Martin

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