Not a model, I'm plotting actuals and measuring distance. It has turned a further couple of degrees again more towards Sxm. Be nice if it did a 180.
I think all the modelers have a duty to be safer than sorry and they all seem to slant towards hitting land than open sea.......which is what you want to get people not to ignore. Storm Carib takes that likely plot and then measures distance.
I'm sure they are as good as anybody.
-------------------- Just the other night I was sleeping under a bridge and now here I am on the grandest ship in the world having champagne with you fine people.
Jack Dawson - Movie Titanic