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And Then there was Erika #65922
08/24/2015 11:40 PM
08/24/2015 11:40 PM
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
L
LianeLeTendre Offline OP
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LianeLeTendre  Offline OP
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L
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
Another named storm on the way ... And this time, I am feeling it.

Not too sure what is going to happen with this one yet, but my knee started to ache tonight and is already starting to swell.

We didn't get much of a break in between. My Internet acces is really sloooow tonight so have not investigated. Will look at it in the morning.

In the meantime, if anyone else has a good connection, perhaps you could post some info?

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Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: LianeLeTendre] #65923
08/25/2015 12:09 AM
08/25/2015 12:09 AM
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 5,360
Bradenton, FL
Winterstale Offline
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Winterstale  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 5,360
Bradenton, FL
Yes....heard Danny's sister is packing more of a punch.....



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Bridget
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: Winterstale] #65924
08/25/2015 12:12 AM
08/25/2015 12:12 AM
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 5,360
Bradenton, FL
Winterstale Offline
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Winterstale  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 5,360
Bradenton, FL



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Bridget
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: LianeLeTendre] #65925
08/25/2015 08:29 AM
08/25/2015 08:29 AM
Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 3,835
South Sound Villa Virgin Gorda
tpcook Offline
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tpcook  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 3,835
South Sound Villa Virgin Gorda
My hurricane software currently shows the track to be within 25 miles of BVI around 5PM on Thurs. I am scheduled to fly into STT on Friday. <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/duh.gif" alt="" />

Hurricane track is dead over Anegada at present on thurs

Last edited by tpcook; 08/25/2015 09:05 AM.

tpcook
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: tpcook] #65926
08/25/2015 08:45 AM
08/25/2015 08:45 AM
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 17
TropicalBlend Offline
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TropicalBlend  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 17
'Tis the season... Erika is moving west much faster than Danny. It is forecasted to be a strong tropical storm as it passes the Leewards, Virgins, and Puerto Rico. We were planning to leave P.R. for a cruise to the Virgins after Danny passed, but now we'll need to stay put.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?5-daynl#contents


Living life at seven knots on the M/V Tropical Blend
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: TropicalBlend] #65927
08/25/2015 09:06 AM
08/25/2015 09:06 AM
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 200
Oklahoma
LivinLarge Offline
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LivinLarge  Offline
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Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 200
Oklahoma
Praying that it brings needed rains to the islands with no damage !!!


Allan
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: TropicalBlend] #65928
08/25/2015 09:09 AM
08/25/2015 09:09 AM
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,907
Macon, Georgia
GlennA Offline
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GlennA  Offline
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Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,907
Macon, Georgia
Looks like Danny broke up that wall of dry Sahara air so Erika has a pretty clear path up the islands.


Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. - Mark Twain
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: GlennA] #65929
08/25/2015 10:56 AM
08/25/2015 10:56 AM
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 295
Tampa, FL
denverd0n Offline
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denverd0n  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 295
Tampa, FL
This website has something of a Florida slant to it, but it focuses on tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic, so very good information on anything that is going to affect the Caribbean/Bahamas.

http://flhurricane.com/

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: GlennA] #65930
08/25/2015 04:23 PM
08/25/2015 04:23 PM
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
L
LianeLeTendre Offline OP
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LianeLeTendre  Offline OP
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Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
Yup, looks like we may get some rain after all. It doesn't look like it is very organized right now though. That could certainly change, but once again, my knee is saying probably nothing more than a strong blow with some rain mixed in. If it slows down, then I might start to get a little worried, but it's moving at a pretty quick pace which is just fine with me.

I am far more concerned about the behemoth that is just coming off the African coast now. It is MASSIVE! If that thing organizes, I may be looking for a flight out of here.

I don't recall ever seeing anything quite that big before. It looks rather intimidating and has me watching pretty darn closely.

I guess the picture will start to take shape in the morning. Have a look at the Intellicast Atlantic Satellite. Yikes! <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Yikes.gif" alt="" />

Perhaps somebody who understands these things better than I do can tell me if I am worrying for no reason. To me, it looks like a HUGE storm that already has an eye forming and the motion/appearance of a tropical storm?

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: LianeLeTendre] #65931
08/25/2015 04:35 PM
08/25/2015 04:35 PM
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,907
Macon, Georgia
GlennA Offline
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GlennA  Offline
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Posts: 10,907
Macon, Georgia
Definitely worth watching but I would wait a day or two before worrying about that system. It has just started leaving the coastline within the last hour and once over water it should change considerably.


Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. - Mark Twain
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: GlennA] #65932
08/25/2015 04:43 PM
08/25/2015 04:43 PM
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
L
LianeLeTendre Offline OP
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LianeLeTendre  Offline OP
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L
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
Thanks Glenn, I realize it is likely to change once it is out over the water ... but holy cow that thing is big. I certainly hope it breaks up and dissipates. But is it possible that something that big could form several smaller storms?

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: LianeLeTendre] #65933
08/25/2015 07:31 PM
08/25/2015 07:31 PM
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,907
Macon, Georgia
GlennA Offline
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GlennA  Offline
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Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,907
Macon, Georgia
It seems to have broken up once it got over the water. The probability is to turn into a strong wave. OTOH, this series of Danny and Erika look to have broken the lock the Sahara air and the small disturbances that proceeded it are moving north which may block the dry air from reforming. That could give a clear path for something to develop and move quickly.

At best I think the islands will get a break in the drought for the next few weeks. At worst, a pretty serious blow. Either way keep your painkillers handy.


Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. - Mark Twain
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: GlennA] #65934
08/25/2015 08:10 PM
08/25/2015 08:10 PM
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 977
annap, MD/BVI-Nanny Cay
hallucination Offline
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hallucination  Offline
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Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 977
annap, MD/BVI-Nanny Cay
I just received my hard copy of my insurance today....fingers crossed but bad mojo.

LUCI is on hard, and just checked the straps. I'll be out in Evans neck of the woods watching the Beatles (tribute band) at Red Rocks when it is scheduled to land (island) fall.

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: GlennA] #65935
08/25/2015 08:16 PM
08/25/2015 08:16 PM
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
L
LianeLeTendre Offline OP
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LianeLeTendre  Offline OP
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Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
Glad you reminded me. I have to go into town in the morning. Will add another bottle of Advil to my shopping list. But so far, so good with Erika. No need for anything yet. I'm hoping it will be more or less a repeat of Danny.

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: LianeLeTendre] #65936
08/26/2015 06:37 AM
08/26/2015 06:37 AM
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 17
TropicalBlend Offline
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TropicalBlend  Offline
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Posts: 17
Not sure what you are looking at. There are no new cyclones developing off of Africa in the next five days.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5


Living life at seven knots on the M/V Tropical Blend
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: TropicalBlend] #65937
08/26/2015 08:41 AM
08/26/2015 08:41 AM
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,174
An island state of mind
tradewinds Offline
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tradewinds  Offline
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Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,174
An island state of mind
Quote
TropicalBlend said:
Not sure what you are looking at. There are no new cyclones developing off of Africa in the next five days.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5


Erika is still a threat, but it looks like that "blob" behind her broke up once it moved out over water.

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: tradewinds] #65938
08/26/2015 08:51 AM
08/26/2015 08:51 AM
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 380
road town
sleepychef Offline
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sleepychef  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 380
road town
Islands now under Tropical Storm Warning

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: sleepychef] #65939
08/26/2015 09:05 AM
08/26/2015 09:05 AM
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 5,360
Bradenton, FL
Winterstale Offline
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Winterstale  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 5,360
Bradenton, FL
Yep - warnings concerning ferry service stoppage on the BVI Community FB page. Stay safe everyone and hope there's just a lot of much-needed rain!!



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Bridget
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: Winterstale] #65940
08/26/2015 12:56 PM
08/26/2015 12:56 PM
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,114
West Palm Beach FL
bviboater Offline
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bviboater  Offline
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Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 1,114
West Palm Beach FL
looks like rain for BVI and winds at 45Kts hopefully not too bad.

Every body keep an eye out, with hurricanes you never know what will happen until it does.

I just don't like it that NOAA's 5 day forecast (8AM Mon) has the dot with an H (for hurricane) right above my house in West Palm Beach, FL.


John
Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: bviboater] #65941
08/26/2015 02:00 PM
08/26/2015 02:00 PM
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 21
Atlanta, Georgia, USA
atlsaturn Offline
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atlsaturn  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 21
Atlanta, Georgia, USA
Out of curiosity, I was wondering what the charter companies have people do when tropical weather is on the way. Do they call everyone who is out and ask them to return to the base by a certain date and time? Once there, do they try to put people in hotels or shelters or can they stay on the boat if the harbor is protected enough and the storm isn't too strong? Would trip insurance offer a refund for an "interruption"?

It looks like Erika will probably pass through in a day, so that might not be too much of an interruption. But it might not be too much fun to be in the aftermath if there is a lot of debris, power outages, etc., to deal with. Like I said, I am just curious. I hope everyone there stays safe and we don't have another wreck like the Rhone.

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: atlsaturn] #65942
08/26/2015 03:15 PM
08/26/2015 03:15 PM
Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 355
NC
leeguice Offline
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leeguice  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 355
NC
Several years ago we were called back to Voyage for Dennis. Stayed on the dock, in the cat. Sons and I helped the staff with the process, great learning. 48 hours later back sailing having fun. The night the storm passed over, lots of rain and big gusts. Never felt at risk. I grew up in New Orleans so I have some respect for them!

Re: And Then there was Erika [Re: leeguice] #65943
08/26/2015 10:06 PM
08/26/2015 10:06 PM
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 4,440
Ex-Spyglass Villa owners in Le...
Kimmers Offline
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Kimmers  Offline
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Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 4,440
Ex-Spyglass Villa owners in Le...
Many, many years ago, we too were contacted by our charter company to head straight for Peter Island and head into their small harbor. Once there, the wind hit us so hard that metal trash cans were flying through the air. The guys jumped off our charter boat hoping to pull us into a side-tie but the wind was too strong so I had to use the back & forth engine method to get us close enough. By that time, the sharp rain felt like bullets against our skin. Once secure, the four of us, dripping wet, met below. Minutes later, the marina staff knocked on our haul telling us that the last boat that side-tied to this dock during serious weather ended up ON the dock so we had to move. We tied ourselves from bow to stern in a "V" shape and had to use our dinghy just to get from the boat to the dock for the next two days. Having said that, what great memories we have of that adventure. We survived to tell this story over and over again. smile


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[color:"black"]Kimmers[/color]

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