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New red cross..

Posted By: Manpot

New red cross.. - 09/14/2021 03:35 PM

...looks to heading towards the island chain. We should keep an eye on this one.
Posted By: Zanshin

Re: New red cross.. - 09/14/2021 04:10 PM

I've been watching this one for 2 days. It will be a couple more days before the models begin to align, at the moment it looks like this:

[Linked Image]
Posted By: LocalSailor

Re: New red cross.. - 09/14/2021 07:29 PM

Early in forecast but promising overall

https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=AL95
Posted By: VirginGordaResident

Re: New red cross.. - 09/15/2021 01:03 PM

***whispers*** "north, north, go north young fellow"
Posted By: LocalSailor

Re: New red cross.. - 09/15/2021 05:35 PM

Trending N in todays forecast track******** in same site as earlier

https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=AL95
Posted By: bagsarepacked

Re: New red cross.. - 09/16/2021 01:39 PM

I really do not like September any more frown
Posted By: Zanshin

Re: New red cross.. - 09/16/2021 03:12 PM

I like using the spaghetti models, I choose the projected storm path I like best and just ignore the other ones as they are evidently incorrect.

That's my method and I'm sticking to it smile
Posted By: Manpot

Re: New red cross.. - 09/16/2021 04:49 PM

The further west this goes before starting its northern turn the more it concerns me...
Posted By: calsail

Re: New red cross.. - 09/17/2021 01:18 AM

It’s going to go north πŸ™πŸ™ Now an orange x
Posted By: Flagler Paul

Re: New red cross.. - 09/17/2021 01:12 PM

In case you did not know, you can use Tropical Tidbits to get these spaghetti tracks and other good info. Yes, the projection is clearly shifting north. Appears the BVI will be affected Tuesday. We arrive Wednesday afternoon, obviously watching this closely. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
Posted By: Carol_Hill

Re: New red cross.. - 09/19/2021 01:24 PM

Now named Peter, but looks to be headed north of the islands, as a tropical storm.
Posted By: Manpot

Re: New red cross.. - 09/19/2021 04:25 PM

Look behind "Peter"...oops.
Posted By: Carol_Hill

Re: New red cross.. - 09/19/2021 05:37 PM

TD Seventeen is no threat to anybody except fishes..
Posted By: LocalSailor

Re: New red cross.. - 09/19/2021 06:53 PM

Originally Posted by Carol_Hill
TD Seventeen is no threat to anybody except fishes..

And Ships/vessels at sea in the area.
Posted By: Carol_Hill

Re: New red cross.. - 09/19/2021 09:27 PM

OK, but ships should be able to sail out of harm's way.
Posted By: Kmon

Re: New red cross.. - 09/20/2021 12:17 AM

Another disturbance is coming off of Africa (after Peter and Rose). It's already given a 50% chance of formation. Hope it goes out to sea like the other two!
Posted By: Flagler Paul

Re: New red cross.. - 09/20/2021 12:58 AM

Peter seems to be a nothingburger, but there is a new storm coming off Africa to watch
Posted By: VirginGordaResident

Re: New red cross.. - 09/21/2021 02:32 PM

Hooooo boy. We might be in for something next Thursdayish.... Invest 98 -> Hurricane Sam. This is the Windy forecast for the BVI next Thursday the 30th

Attached picture Screen Shot 2021-09-21 at 10.27.53 AM.png
Attached picture Screen Shot 2021-09-21 at 10.28.50 AM.png
Posted By: Flagler Paul

Re: New red cross.. - 09/21/2021 02:48 PM

The early spaghetti plots show 98L (Sam) starting a turn north before it crosses 55W roughly in 7 days. Currently projected to be a Cat 1. Obviously things can change. Follow Levi Cowan's excellent website: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
Posted By: tpcook

Re: New red cross.. - 09/21/2021 07:42 PM

98L is showing a north turn missing the BVI's
Posted By: tpcook

Re: New red cross.. - 09/24/2021 02:15 PM

Sam (98l) is currently projected to pass north of the BVI.s as a cat 3 or 4 so a major hurricane
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