Scary one

A big scary one brewing off the coast of Africa right now. Definitely worth keeping an eye on...

A poll taken shows most bet it will be named Larry on September 3rd.

This one is making me nervous..

Maybe dangerous

This is a tweet from renowned weatherman Joe Bastardi 6 hrs ago. Hope he is right!

"Kate another storm that will stay far away A MAJOR Atlantic hurricane will develop next week and stay out at sea."

Currently named 90L on satellite site

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=90L&product=ir

Forecaster Carette----
quote
ANALYSIS
What bears watching is how much the disturbance develops and strengthens in the coming days. The stronger it becomes in the next five to seven days, the more likely it will be pulled northward and into the open Atlantic. On the other hand, if we see a disturbance that takes its time to develop, it becomes more likely that it will miss the weakness in the high-pressure ridge and track westward instead.
This tropical wave looks quite large in overall size and larger disturbances sometimes take a lot longer to organize and develop than smaller ones do. It is very possible that the forecast models are developing this disturbance too quickly, and in the end, we may see much slower development, which could steer the system a lot further west when compared to the model’s suggested track.
It is not a given that this system will end up curving into the open Atlantic and therefore should be closely watched over the next few days. Two areas to pay particularly close attention to: first is the far northern Leeward Islands for late this weekend into early next week; second is Bermuda where this disturbance needs to be watched for the middle and end of next week.

Reminds me of Hurricane Irma when all the models had it recurve and go above the islands.

Great insight above from both. Here is what some current spaghetti models are showing from Mike's Weather Page... Let's hope it stays that way!

I like Mike! Mike for president!

Seems to be trending to head North out to the Atlantic but definitely still keeping an eye on this one.

Surf's up Apple Bay, CGB and Josiahs'..start waxing!

As of now, it's TD 12 and supposedly going out to sea.. Hopefully.

Good morning tropical storm Larry..now trending a little more west and less north. Lets hope it starts its northward curve and then wish the best for Bermuda!

Thursday 5am forecast LARRY ---- NHC

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/0900Z 13.0N 32.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 02/1800Z 13.4N 34.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 03/0600Z 14.0N 37.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 03/1800Z 14.8N 40.9W 95 KT 110 MPH
48H 04/0600Z 15.8N 43.6W 100 KT 115 MPH
60H 04/1800Z 16.9N 46.1W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 05/0600Z 18.3N 48.3W 110 KT 125 MPH
96H 06/0600Z 20.9N 52.1W 115 KT 130 MPH
120H 07/0600Z 23.8N 55.4W 110 KT 125 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Position and track definitely looks promising for the BVI..

yes, but Bermuda might be in trouble

Yes, hopefully it will curve way north..

...now there is another one, just coming off Africa!!

The longer Larry keeps heading West before starting to head North the worse it gets for us and surrounding islands.Hoping to see that North curve start soon.

Mal--are you seeing ANY models that bring it anywhere close to the BVI, as I am not.

The EURO model has it curving north and going east of Bermuda.

Larry seems to have started its North Western track which should spare us..but the National Hurricane Center graph has Bermuda right in its projected path

Let's hope it starts to curve east back out into the middle of the Atlantic and doesn't hit!!

Larry is turning into one nasty ,powerful storm. After the last debacle in New York you have to wonder where this one will end up..after, hopefully, sparing Bermuda its full brunt. It certainly looks, right now, as though we have all dodged a powerful bullet.

And the good news is that a major hurricane like this one sucks up a lot of energy so that subsequent storms will hopefully have less "food". But I'm sure that surfers up and down the island chain are looking forward to some major swells on any west east coast stretches.