Keep an Eye on the Tropics

Invest 95 forecast isn’t looking too good……

The latest track (2PM) has it going north of the islands.

Keep an eye on trop depression 13...

Right, kmon, as of now, going north. Hopefully that continues.

t NHC track has the south side of the track going over the Virgins..

It is definitely worth keeping an eye.

Thankfully, at this time, all the models are pretty consistently predicting it heading just north of the islands as a Major Hurricane.

As of now, looks to be good news for the BVI and USVI. Folks in the Bahamas and (perhaps Florida again????) need to be aware.

Wonder if we'll be as lucky with the next one. It's worth watching. We continue to bolster our hurricane defenses, so part of me wants to see how successful those improvements are.

Which "next one"?? If you're talking about the red "x" currently on the NHC website, that one is predicted to steer to the north way before it approaches the islands. Of course at this point, we are basically only about halfway through the season..

Another low pressure area is supposed to come off of Africa in a few days. Some are saying this one will go on a similar path as Lee has done

Oh i see wind is from the West.
What was sailing like with a reversed Wind direction , when the wind is from the WEST.
( caused by LEE circulation.) If one does a trip would you plan a clockwise trip instead of a counterclockwise ?

(if there is any sailing?)

Westerly winds rarely hold for more than a couple of days.

I am more concerned about how much sand Lee strips off the N facing beaches.

I have a camera on the beach in front of our house on Anegada. So far, the seas have been less than forecast, and have no effect on the beach at all. The northerly wind is bringing us a lot of sargassum, though.

Surf is up in CDB today. Pretty rough in White Bay with a wrap around surge.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot...uom=E&time_diff=0&time_label=GMT

buoy N. of PR

Here's the next one to watch. NHC has a 70% chance of development moving towards the Leewards. Euro and GFS are split on intensity.