Hurricane Sam expected to intensify

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wesh.com/amp/article/hurricane-sam-expected-to-intensify/37718395

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2021-09-24-hurricane-sam-forecast


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nj.com/weather/2021/09/tropical-storm-sam-could-become-a-monster-hurricane-forecasters-say.html%3foutputType=amp

https://web.uwm.edu/hurricane-models/models/al182021_analogs.png


Waking up to Hurricane Sam expected to intensify

So far, it doesn't look to be an issue for SXM.

Herald LINK

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.th...path-2021-live-tracker-where-headed/amp/

It’s s a Cat 4 now. Hopefully it gets the memo on a northerly right turn. I would have one eye trained on it u til it does make the turn.

So far, the models have been in very good agreement on the future track.

Of course, there is another one, coming off the coast of Africa..

Isn't there always at this time of year? The NHC website is a favorite for the next few months.

https://web.uwm.edu/hurricane-models/models/al182021_analogs.png

Analog tracks based on old storms

We better watch the 2 new waves off Africa

Right. Those are making me VERY nervous right now..

And moving extremely slow

Thousands of miles farther to the southeast of the potential "zombie" Peter system, and to the southeast of Hurricane Sam, there are two tropical waves that AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring for further tropical development this week.


Both of these features recently emerged off the coast of Africa as tropical waves do, and both are in an environment that favors the further strengthening of the systems in the next several days.

Waters in that region of the Atlantic Ocean are sufficiently warm (at or above 78 F) for tropical development, wind shear is currently low, and there is not a tremendous amount of dry air and dust in the vicinity, according to Kottlowski.


"Both systems have a high chance of becoming tropical depressions and storms later this week, and in this case, the next two names on the list for the 2021 season will be used," Kottlowski said.

If the systems strengthen enough to become named tropical storms, the National Hurricane Center will name them Victor and Wanda.


[color:#CC0000]"However, since both systems are likely to enter a wall of wind shear as they move across the Atlantic starting around this weekend, the organization and strengthening process may not last very long," Kottlowski said.

Thanks. That last bit is encouraging!

In todays Herald.LINK

We might not even get much rain , which was hoping on for the plants.