Red x in the atlantic

Fellow peeps. 70% chance in the next 48. No clear track yet. Plan C your anegada trips

There's Sahara dust behind it that may knock the wind out of it (no pun intended).

Fairly good track consensus here

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_94

TW

What weather website do you prefer?

thanks

Karen

A whole bunch including national Hurricane centre, Jeff masters blog, storm Caribe, spaghetti models

This is the site for Sahara dust:
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/salmain.php?prod=splitEW

This one and spaghetti models have multiple graphics, some with motion.

http://www.mawsweather.com/hurrican.html

This one covers everything tropical as well as links to many other weather pages: http://www.spaghettimodels.com/

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/tropical-depression-four?

Seems like the Sahara Dust mass is dampening this one. Hope this model holds and we skirt this one!

Going, Going, Gone!

Looks like it has changed course a bit

Look again. Changed back.

It's gone. Run over by Sahara dust.

It's not like that was a surprise now. Was it?

Apparently, this morning, you were still predicting the sky to fall on the BVI.

Wow. What a misinterpretation. NOAA showed it turned back. Not me. I said no more and no less. Certainly no basis for your remark.

I posted this a few days ago in the weather thread.

"I predict that if it veers north, SAL will prevent serious development.

But what do I know, I'm not a forecaster. "

Thus, my amateur forecast was correct ( lucky guess perhaps)

OK, no idea why this thread went sideways, but it did, so it's done..