There will be a lot of losses. The sheer numbers of boats preclude getting them all in the safest shelters like paraquita bay. For a " normal" storm the south side of Tortola/ Virgin Gorda would be protected. Unfortunately the eyeball swallowed up Virgin Gorda and a good part of Tortola meaning they will be getting those 225 mph winds on north side wall..and then 140 from the south with the surge that brings. There will be tremendous losses I would bet. And those on the hard are likely not secured for eyewall velocity of this storm.