Brent, not disagreeing with your analysis, but the "ifs"'are pretty large: not every charter boat will be meticulously cleaned and the airlines serving the BVI are not major and may not be properly cleaned. If you fly to STT, will the taxis and ferries be meticulously cleaned?

Then there's the issue of testing. If it's done in San Juan, St. Thomas and St. Martin, will anyone be willing to book a flight there and rent a house or charter a boat, not knowing if they can complete their trip? Heck, we own a house. Would we pay to get it opened, cleaned, boat launched, car prepped, etc., not knowing if we would actually be able to get in.

My guess is the first people allowed back will be citizens and residents, and after that it will be wait and see.