10th through the 16th look pretty good. 10-15kts winds...chance of rain...not dominant.

Throw all your sails up and skip the reef.

I would take 12.5kts winds over a 25+kts wind ANY DAY!!!

the following week looks kinda wonkey, but having worked at NOAA/NCEP for 6 years...statistically this is not significant.

Don't be concerned about the rain drops EVERY day...it rains 3-4 times in a 24 hour period all the time this time of year. It's called the "hatch dance"