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Re: Future Tropical storm forecast- September 3 2022
[Re: Dr Phil SXM]
#287811
08/25/2022 11:03 AM
08/25/2022 11:03 AM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,107 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,107
Central Florida!
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Since the first week in September is the ultimate in high season for hurricanes, it's always good to keep one eye on the future, but that is way too far away to get too worried about it yet. Hopefully will be no issue to SXM.
Carol Hill
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Re: Future Tropical storm forecast- September 3 2022
[Re: Dr Phil SXM]
#287843
08/26/2022 07:42 AM
08/26/2022 07:42 AM
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 5,925 New England (home), St. Maarte...
jmbcomms
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 5,925
New England (home), St. Maarte...
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Totally agree on better to be prepared than surprised. Ahead of Irma, meteorologist friends referred me to Crown Weather / Rob Lightbown, who specializes in tropical weather predictions and they call him the "go-to guy." He's amazing.
Jeff Berger Visiting SXM Since 1978
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Re: Future Tropical storm forecast- September 3 2022
[Re: Dr Phil SXM]
#287924
08/28/2022 05:01 AM
08/28/2022 05:01 AM
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Joined: Aug 2022
Posts: 1 The Netherlands
Maikelvdh
Member
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Member
Joined: Aug 2022
Posts: 1
The Netherlands
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Good day, To be fair I don't expect anything major for this disturbance. As I'm seeing interest in this topic to see further in the future I made an account to this forum to share a website I check regularly: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/modelsOn the top right you can select the forecast run available 4 times a day. 0000Z 0600Z 12:00Z and 18:00Z. On the top of the page you can see the titles named GFS/GLOBAL/ENSEMBLE etc.. Below that you can see a white bar you can slide using the blue circle. The numbers on the right hand side 006/012/018/024 are the HOURS of forecast past the last run time. So let's say you are watching the runtime of 00Z Aug 28 and slide to 024 using the bar (or clicking on 024) you are watching the forecast of 00z on Mon, 29 of Aug 2022. On the left bottom of the page below the picture shown you can press REGIONS to select what area you are interested in. For St. Maarten/South and East USA it's best to check the North Atlantic region. To watch waves coming of Africa with a bit more detail you can use the Tropical Atlantic region. These forecasts can be used as far as 384 hours/16 days into the future. Please remember that the further these predictions go the less accurate they become. Maikel
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