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Now Hurricane Tammy #307153
10/14/2023 12:03 PM
10/14/2023 12:03 PM
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 273
Va Beach
Kmon Offline OP
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Kmon  Offline OP
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Va Beach
Soon to be TS Tammy could affect the NE Caribbean this time next weekend. Hope it goes north before reaching the islands. The forecast intensity is here: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/94L_intensity_latest.png

Last edited by Carol_Hill; 10/20/2023 11:06 AM.
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Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307155
10/14/2023 12:31 PM
10/14/2023 12:31 PM
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
R
RatmansWife Offline
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RatmansWife  Offline
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R
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
I'm counting on Tammy to guarantee me a bumper lime crop.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307160
10/14/2023 02:04 PM
10/14/2023 02:04 PM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,168
M
MIDiver Offline
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MIDiver  Offline
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M
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Tammy needs to take a trip up North - I don’t need her to screw up my upcoming travel plans. 🙄

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307212
10/16/2023 07:55 AM
10/16/2023 07:55 AM
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 273
Va Beach
Kmon Offline OP
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Kmon  Offline OP
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Va Beach
The forecast intensity has dropped significantly since yesterday. Good news indeed!

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307219
10/16/2023 10:03 AM
10/16/2023 10:03 AM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,168
M
MIDiver Offline
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MIDiver  Offline
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Lower intensity is good - bit weaker go west, correct? Hope it takes that N turn. I looked at long range forecast as we hope to be there the 24th and it looks wet through the 29th. 😟

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307303
10/18/2023 02:10 PM
10/18/2023 02:10 PM
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
R
RatmansWife Offline
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RatmansWife  Offline
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Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
Latest update expects a tropical storm to be named today or tonight. BVI looks to be in the middle of the cone.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307304
10/18/2023 03:14 PM
10/18/2023 03:14 PM
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 409
Virgin Gorda, BVI
V
VirginGordaResident Offline
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Virgin Gorda, BVI
Let's hope she stays east/north!!

Looking to be a rainy weekend regardless

Attached Files weathernerds.png
Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307306
10/18/2023 05:08 PM
10/18/2023 05:08 PM
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
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RatmansWife Offline
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Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
Tammy is now a tropical storm.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307308
10/18/2023 05:17 PM
10/18/2023 05:17 PM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,168
M
MIDiver Offline
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MIDiver  Offline
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Cone doesn’t look promising. Hoping for minimal impacts.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307314
10/18/2023 07:56 PM
10/18/2023 07:56 PM
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 273
Va Beach
Kmon Offline OP
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Kmon  Offline OP
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Va Beach
Looks like lots of rain and no damaging winds, which is most residents want! Good Luck!!

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307327
10/19/2023 08:21 AM
10/19/2023 08:21 AM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,168
M
MIDiver Offline
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MIDiver  Offline
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Hurricane hunters have found Tammy to be stronger than expected. Likely to become a hurricane soon. Way too close for comfort - I am expecting hurricane watches to be issued today.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/120713.shtml?cone#contents

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: MIDiver] #307333
10/19/2023 09:57 AM
10/19/2023 09:57 AM
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 229
West Chester, PA
ligot Offline
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ligot  Offline
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Posts: 229
West Chester, PA
So far, windguru isn't showing major winds over the weekend. We just did an SXM trip this past Sept right as Lee (I think) was passing. We'd watched the NHC/NOAA maps and it scared the crap out of us as we were packing. The owner of the villa sent us a windguru link showing they weren't expecting much except the lighter, shifting winds and it was correct. That said, watching even their map, you're right, it's way to close for comfort. Slight shift and everything changes.

https://www.windguru.cz/map/?lat=18.08&lon=-63.02&zoom=9


S/V Tortuga
Lagoon 46
[Linked Image]
Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: ligot] #307337
10/19/2023 10:09 AM
10/19/2023 10:09 AM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,168
M
MIDiver Offline
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MIDiver  Offline
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Ligot - intensity just increased again and she is still tracking W. I would not trust Windguru at this point. Our base ops have enacted hurricane protocol.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307342
10/19/2023 10:45 AM
10/19/2023 10:45 AM
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 409
Virgin Gorda, BVI
V
VirginGordaResident Offline
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Virgin Gorda, BVI
wayyyyyyy to close for comfort.

STAY EAST I SAY!

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307347
10/19/2023 12:14 PM
10/19/2023 12:14 PM
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 273
Va Beach
Kmon Offline OP
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Kmon  Offline OP
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Va Beach
Yes, the forecast now says minimal hurricane for the northern islands

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307354
10/19/2023 12:40 PM
10/19/2023 12:40 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,903
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
Storm Carib says the following with regard to Tortola:

"Results for Tortola (18.45N, 64.53W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.0N, 62.8W or about 119.5 miles (192.3 km) from your location. This is corresponding with the 60 hour position of the 5-day forecast (Saturday, October 21 at 11:00PM AST)."

Stay safe out there, people!


Carol Hill
Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307356
10/19/2023 12:42 PM
10/19/2023 12:42 PM
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 409
Virgin Gorda, BVI
V
VirginGordaResident Offline
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Virgin Gorda, BVI
Anyone hauling their boats out for Tammy? I have a 15' RIB I keep at Leverick Bay and debating if I should keep it in or haul

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307366
10/19/2023 02:02 PM
10/19/2023 02:02 PM
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
R
RatmansWife Offline
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Memphis, BVI, CT
Both of our Whalers are still on trailers. One has a more protected finger pier in a marina, so I would leave that one in. The other would be on a more exposed pier with a stern mooring. That one we would pull. Our boat guy removes the covers if wind is expected.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307386
10/20/2023 06:03 AM
10/20/2023 06:03 AM
Joined: Aug 2021
Posts: 23
Vermont, USA
VTSailor Offline
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VTSailor  Offline
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Vermont, USA
This mornings report looks like maybe a clean miss but some pretty goofy wind for 3-4 days. Hope the normal pattern returns for November.....

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: VirginGordaResident] #307387
10/20/2023 07:57 AM
10/20/2023 07:57 AM
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 409
Virgin Gorda, BVI
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VirginGordaResident Offline
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VirginGordaResident  Offline
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Virgin Gorda, BVI
Originally Posted by VirginGordaResident
Anyone hauling their boats out for Tammy? I have a 15' RIB I keep at Leverick Bay and debating if I should keep it in or haul


Officially decided to keep my boat in the water!!! ***fingers crossed***

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: VirginGordaResident] #307391
10/20/2023 09:07 AM
10/20/2023 09:07 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,903
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Posts: 82,903
Central Florida!
Results from Storm Carib this morning.

Results for Tortola (18.45N, 64.53W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.1N, 62.7W or about 126.7 miles (203.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 46 hours and 24 minutes from now (Sunday, October 22 at 7:30AM AST).


Carol Hill
Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307399
10/20/2023 10:43 AM
10/20/2023 10:43 AM
Joined: Apr 2019
Posts: 156
Houston, TX
Matt W Offline
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Matt W  Offline
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Posts: 156
Houston, TX
When we were leaving yesterday am, the Navigare base staff said they were getting ready to recall all of their charter boats back to the base. Looks like it may have been a bit early to make that call if they followed through.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307400
10/20/2023 10:48 AM
10/20/2023 10:48 AM
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 738
Panama City Beach, Florida
xrayman67 Offline
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xrayman67  Offline
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Posts: 738
Panama City Beach, Florida
I'm still seeing Moorings and DYC boats out on the webcams.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307402
10/20/2023 11:06 AM
10/20/2023 11:06 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,903
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Posts: 82,903
Central Florida!
Tammy is now a hurricane. Stay safe, everyone!


Carol Hill
Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307420
10/21/2023 06:39 AM
10/21/2023 06:39 AM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,168
M
MIDiver Offline
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MIDiver  Offline
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Changes in model guidance with track shifting a bit West. BVI is now under a tropical storm watch.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307447
10/21/2023 07:42 PM
10/21/2023 07:42 PM
Joined: Jul 2020
Posts: 541
Bay Area
H
Husker Offline
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Posts: 541
Bay Area
Moorings has recalled all charters back to base.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: VirginGordaResident] #307448
10/21/2023 07:45 PM
10/21/2023 07:45 PM
Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 4,270
Vero Beach, Fl and South Sound...
tpcook Offline
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tpcook  Offline
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Posts: 4,270
Vero Beach, Fl and South Sound...
It can get very rough at the Leverick Bay docks. I would not keep it at the docks but would put it on a mooring.


tpcook
Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: tpcook] #307465
10/22/2023 08:41 AM
10/22/2023 08:41 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,903
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Posts: 82,903
Central Florida!
Tammy is now moving away, thank goodness. Hopefully the BVI got some rain for the cisterns..


Carol Hill
Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Carol_Hill] #307471
10/22/2023 09:41 AM
10/22/2023 09:41 AM
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 4,048
Buffalo, NY
LauraTheTshirtGal Offline
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LauraTheTshirtGal  Offline
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Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 4,048
Buffalo, NY
Glad its moving away from BVI! Unfortunately we (Im crew on Le Reve wit Dirk and Sandy) are pinned in to Bermuda. We were supposed to hopefully make a break for STT on Monday am but Tammy is going to park her butt right in the path for what looks like almost a week and may actually creep up to Bermuda. (the models are too far out)

worse places to be stuck but definitely a long wait for a window

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307473
10/22/2023 10:09 AM
10/22/2023 10:09 AM
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,673
Memphis, BVI, CT
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RatmansWife Offline
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RatmansWife  Offline
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Memphis, BVI, CT
My fruit trees got very little rain. Hopefully our cistern is still full. We're six weeks out and already packing.

Re: Now Hurricane Tammy [Re: Kmon] #307483
10/22/2023 11:50 AM
10/22/2023 11:50 AM
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 409
Virgin Gorda, BVI
V
VirginGordaResident Offline
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Joined: Mar 2020
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Virgin Gorda, BVI
Nothing burger


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