If you look at history, September is the highest risk followed by August/October and then July/November..etc.

But history is that and I wouldn't base a trip on that if everything else works. Only thing I would do is get insurance in case you need to cancel due to a storm.

We've been in July the past 3 years and its been great - one trip we had a threat and we hunkered down for the night at Leverick - extra lines..etc. Ended up being a non event.

We're going again this August.