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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: Carol_Hill]
#263843
09/14/2021 01:54 PM
09/14/2021 01:54 PM
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Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 2,985 Connecticut
The_Lurker
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Posts: 2,985
Connecticut
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Fingers crossed that this one curves north, like the others have recently. Love SXM, but We don't want it in the U.S. either!
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: The_Lurker]
#263847
09/14/2021 02:34 PM
09/14/2021 02:34 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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Posts: 82,863
Central Florida!
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Well, I was talking about the ones who curved north WAY before getting anywhere close to the US.
Carol Hill
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: sxmmartini]
#263863
09/15/2021 09:55 AM
09/15/2021 09:55 AM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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Anyone have a good update on this, as the latest NHC update doesn't look so great..
Carol Hill
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: SXMScubaman]
#263870
09/15/2021 11:55 AM
09/15/2021 11:55 AM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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Scubaman--sorry, yes, I can read that off the NHC website. It doesn't really tell me anything.
Carol Hill
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: SXMScubaman]
#263876
09/15/2021 01:11 PM
09/15/2021 01:11 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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Central Florida!
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As of now, it seems like most of the models have it going north of the islands, but way too early to tell, I guess. It makes one nervous..
Carol Hill
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: SXMScubaman]
#263885
09/15/2021 03:59 PM
09/15/2021 03:59 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,495 Anguilla, British West Indies
NeilRooney
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Posts: 2,495
Anguilla, British West Indies
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Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted on the northern semicircle, especially from 10N to 15N and between 24W and 31W. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days
Another Day On Planet Earth
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: NeilRooney]
#263886
09/15/2021 04:25 PM
09/15/2021 04:25 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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Neil-- If you're saying the 2 PM advisory was worse than the previous ones, I am not sure it was?? I'm not very tuned in to these things, to understand nuances, but I'm pretty sure the previous advisory also said a depression was likely to form soon, especially since the chance of development was listed at like 80% yesterday.
Carol Hill
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: Zanshin]
#263901
09/16/2021 09:03 AM
09/16/2021 09:03 AM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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Yes, "only" a tropical storm is a good thing, but hopefully it will drift even further north.
Carol Hill
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: Zanshin]
#263908
09/16/2021 12:13 PM
09/16/2021 12:13 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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That's interesting. You may well be correct.
We were on a cruise ship in September 1995, at the exact same time that Luis was destroying St. Maarten/St. Martin and many other islands. We had been scheduled to cruise to the Eastern Caribbean, but based on forecasts, Celebrity decided that we would cruise to the Western Caribbean instead. We were very disappointed not to be able to visit St. Maarten, but we did not cancel, as many people did, while at the port. We will always remember how dead flat CALM the ocean was that week in the western Caribbean. It was almost spooky. Even since then, we have never seen the ocean so absolutely dead flat calm..
Carol Hill
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: sxmmartini]
#263913
09/16/2021 01:12 PM
09/16/2021 01:12 PM
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Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 2,529 Grenada
Zanshin
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Grenada
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What I wrote is basically correct but does have a couple of flaws/caveats. The energy potential in the top layer of tropical waters is vast. Think of how red and hot the stovetop gets to heat up a tiny bit water to boiling and then imagine how much energy a hurricane consumes when it lowers the water temperature by a degree or two in thousands of square miles of water in it's path! A storm uses up that energy too - but it is smaller so converts less latent into kinetic energy. It also doesn't churn up the warm top water layer as much. Nevertheless, it reduces the "food" a hurricane would otherwise use.
Last edited by Zanshin; 09/16/2021 01:14 PM.
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Re: Invest 95L now Tropical Storm Peter
[Re: Zanshin]
#263914
09/16/2021 01:24 PM
09/16/2021 01:24 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 82,863 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
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OK, not sure I understand all that, but OK. Just hope this one--and all the rest--curve north into the open ocean!!
Carol Hill
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