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MIPs are more or less free these days.
Models might be good for long-term meso-scale trends, but no model can predict a week ahead with any semblance of reliability something as chaotic as birth and development of a storm.
Even after a tropical disturbance begins, none of the models can predict anything more than a 2 or 3 days ahead with any accuracy.
"Four" was an excellent example. It apparently had no internet connection and failed to read the predictions of what it was supposed to do.
Walker Mangum
Cow Wreck Beach, Anegada
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