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Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week #159670
04/25/2018 12:35 PM
04/25/2018 12:35 PM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 5,857
New England (home), St. Maarte...
jmbcomms Offline OP
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jmbcomms  Offline OP
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New England (home), St. Maarte...
Rob Lightbown, chief honcho of private weather forecasting company Crown Weather, has been saying the coming hurricane season may be front loaded and most recently said tropical development is possible in May. This morning he said this: "The reason for beginning issuing our regular tropical weather discussions over one month before the official start of the Hurricane Season is because we have identified an area that may be of interest in terms of possible tropical development late next week into next weekend. The geographic area is east of the Bahamas and north of Puerto Rico. While tropical development in this area is a possibility, it is definitely not a sure thing."

Here we go, folks....

Last edited by jmbcomms; 04/25/2018 12:36 PM.

Jeff Berger
Visiting SXM Since 1978
SXM Sponsors
Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #159694
04/25/2018 05:25 PM
04/25/2018 05:25 PM
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 516
C
CaribLee Offline
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CaribLee  Offline
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Posts: 516
Doesn't sound like that would affect St. Maarten--at least I hope not as I will be on island then.

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #159696
04/25/2018 06:04 PM
04/25/2018 06:04 PM
Joined: Sep 2017
Posts: 111
Greenwich CT
D
dmwieser Offline
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dmwieser  Offline
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Posts: 111
Greenwich CT
I feel like its going to be a long season this year!

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: CaribLee] #159698
04/25/2018 06:25 PM
04/25/2018 06:25 PM
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 12,730
Peaceful Eastern North Carolin...
GaKaye Offline
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GaKaye  Offline
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Peaceful Eastern North Carolin...
We'll be there week after next, but as you say; I don't think that will affect St. Martin.

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #159786
04/26/2018 07:07 PM
04/26/2018 07:07 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,052
S
sxmmartini Offline
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The only invest is near Guam so I think this is not of interest to SXM....
[Linked Image]

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #159829
04/27/2018 10:44 AM
04/27/2018 10:44 AM
Joined: Mar 2001
Posts: 1,253
Colorado and Sailing the World
Maria_and_Steve Offline
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Colorado and Sailing the World
The weather models are projecting the Colombian low to reform, extending northward to Cuba by the end of next week. This diffuse area of low pressure will be centered over Jamaica and Eastern Cuba by the weekend of May 5th. Any tropical formation is just conjecture at this point. The models are just that - best guesses smile

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #159879
04/28/2018 03:04 PM
04/28/2018 03:04 PM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 5,857
New England (home), St. Maarte...
jmbcomms Offline OP
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jmbcomms  Offline OP
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New England (home), St. Maarte...
Actually it could. IF it develops, Rob Lightbown (chief honcho of Crown Weather) is now predicting heavy rains and flash flooding in SXM starting next Friday through next weekend.


Jeff Berger
Visiting SXM Since 1978
Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #159881
04/28/2018 04:09 PM
04/28/2018 04:09 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,621
Southern Maryland suburbs of D...
Bill_S Offline
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Bill_S  Offline
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Southern Maryland suburbs of D...
We live in Maryland in the southeastern exurbs of Washington DC. For years our favorite local TV weather guy was Senior Meteorologist Doug Hill on WJLA, now retired.

Doug's forecasts were usually spot on, and ALWAYS included his personal caution: " Any forecast beyond three days from now is nothing more than a guess.!"

T'was true then, is still true today...


Bill
Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: Bill_S] #159885
04/28/2018 07:14 PM
04/28/2018 07:14 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 74,605
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
Remember Doug Hill very well! (No relation, by the way!) Excellent forecaster!!


Carol Hill
Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: Bill_S] #159891
04/28/2018 11:07 PM
04/28/2018 11:07 PM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,047
Maryland/DC Metro
BeachKitten Offline
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BeachKitten  Offline
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Maryland/DC Metro
Of course, he retired as a Calvert County guy. Had the station build him a studio in his basement so that he could broadcast from home! wink


"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" wink
Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: Bill_S] #159965
04/30/2018 08:30 AM
04/30/2018 08:30 AM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 5,857
New England (home), St. Maarte...
jmbcomms Offline OP
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jmbcomms  Offline OP
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New England (home), St. Maarte...
Disagree; the science is far better now, and usually Rob is spot on...


Jeff Berger
Visiting SXM Since 1978
Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #160141
05/02/2018 08:07 PM
05/02/2018 08:07 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,052
S
sxmmartini Offline
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Disturbance Over the Bahamas: 10% Chance of Development...

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/disturbance-over-bahamas-10-chance-development

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #160145
05/02/2018 08:31 PM
05/02/2018 08:31 PM
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 12,730
Peaceful Eastern North Carolin...
GaKaye Offline
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GaKaye  Offline
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Peaceful Eastern North Carolin...
Ten percent is nothing.

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #160155
05/03/2018 07:58 AM
05/03/2018 07:58 AM
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 516
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CaribLee Offline
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Was rainy yesterday but today starting off better.

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #160162
05/03/2018 10:00 AM
05/03/2018 10:00 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,890
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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BillandElaine  Offline
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St Maarten
Seas are pretty rough, but the sun is shining!


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #160230
05/04/2018 11:50 AM
05/04/2018 11:50 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,052
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sxmmartini Offline
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Originally Posted by jmbcomms
Rob Lightbown, chief honcho of private weather forecasting company Crown Weather, has been saying the coming hurricane season may be front loaded and most recently said tropical development is possible in May. This morning he said this: "The reason for beginning issuing our regular tropical weather discussions over one month before the official start of the Hurricane Season is because we have identified an area that may be of interest in terms of possible tropical development late next week into next weekend. The geographic area is east of the Bahamas and north of Puerto Rico. While tropical development in this area is a possibility, it is definitely not a sure thing."

Here we go, folks....

RL called this one early...

http://crownweather.com/index.php/author/rob/

Re: Crown Weather: Tropical Development Possible Next Week [Re: jmbcomms] #160233
05/04/2018 12:38 PM
05/04/2018 12:38 PM
Joined: Mar 2001
Posts: 1,253
Colorado and Sailing the World
Maria_and_Steve Offline
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Colorado and Sailing the World
This FB weather group is very strong on facts, if you would like to track tropical storms.

https://www.facebook.com/AtlanticWe...tgi9FoDydvY1Wgqv6Tznv6sUp1PM&fref=nf


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