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Hurricane Dorian #203134
08/24/2019 04:34 PM
08/24/2019 04:34 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
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Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
Now Tropical Storm Dorian:

NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center
5 mins ·
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2019 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...

NHC has upgraded Tropical Depression Five to Tropical Storm Dorian. It's centered as of 5 p.m. AST/EDT over the tropical Atlantic Ocean about 725 miles (1165 km) east-southeast of Barbados. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the central and northern Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Dorian.

Dorian is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast on Sunday, and that motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone is expected to be near the central Lesser Antilles on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. Gradual strengthening during the next few days is forecast, and Dorian could be near hurricane strength when it approaches the central Lesser Antilles on Tuesday.

Get the latest on Dorian at www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian

Last edited by Carol_Hill; 08/28/2019 01:57 PM.

Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
SXM Sponsors
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203135
08/24/2019 07:00 PM
08/24/2019 07:00 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
Traveler
Carol_Hill  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Forecast is to go south of SXM, so hopefully it won't be a big issue for SXM.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203136
08/24/2019 07:08 PM
08/24/2019 07:08 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
Traveler
SXMScubaman  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
Hope forecast model is correct.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203138
08/24/2019 07:33 PM
08/24/2019 07:33 PM
Joined: Jul 2015
Posts: 46
sxm
E
enzosxm Offline
Traveler
enzosxm  Offline
Traveler
E
Joined: Jul 2015
Posts: 46
sxm
Forecast models are pretty closely clustered therefore Dorian should really pass South. Problem is El Nino has ceased and basically now there is an highway for storms to form. A good weather page for hurricane tracking is spaghettimodels.com (Mike's page) you will find a lot of useful tools such as water temperatures, wind shear, steering currents, upper level winds etc. etc.

Last edited by enzosxm; 08/24/2019 07:34 PM.
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203141
08/25/2019 06:04 AM
08/25/2019 06:04 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
sxmmartini Offline
Traveler
sxmmartini  Offline
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Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for Barbados.

Attached Files image.pngimage.jpeg
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203147
08/25/2019 09:09 AM
08/25/2019 09:09 AM
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 652
S
SammyM Online content
Traveler
SammyM  Online Content
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S
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 652
Thanks for the update. Pressure is still on the high side and sustained winds are 40 mph. So, for any cruise ships making port in Barbados, St. Lucia or Martinique they may want to alter course next week. But, this looks to be well south of St. Martin and even it makes hurricane status it will likely be no stronger than a Cat 1 storm. No need to change any plans if visiting SXM at this time.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203184
08/25/2019 04:44 PM
08/25/2019 04:44 PM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,406
Rhode Island
RonDon Offline
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RonDon  Offline
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Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,406
Rhode Island
Praying the rest of the season"s storm go this same way and bypass SXM.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203204
08/26/2019 08:32 AM
08/26/2019 08:32 AM
Joined: Jun 2019
Posts: 30
Arlen, TX
BillDauterive Offline
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BillDauterive  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Jun 2019
Posts: 30
Arlen, TX

Looks like it's gonna get windy soon ....

[Linked Image]

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203205
08/26/2019 08:45 AM
08/26/2019 08:45 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
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Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
Tuesday afternoon, evening just some gusts. Nothing to worry about


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203214
08/26/2019 10:21 AM
08/26/2019 10:21 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
sxmmartini Offline
Traveler
sxmmartini  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
11 AM update...

Attached Files image.jpeg
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203232
08/26/2019 04:39 PM
08/26/2019 04:39 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 1,278
Hershey, Pennsylvania
Tom Offline
Traveler
Tom  Offline
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 1,278
Hershey, Pennsylvania
Once more we owe you for local and accurate reporting of serious events
We're all targets for rumors and unsubstantiated information. You help clarify the truth. Edward R. Murrow..."You are there".
I know that most won't know that reference but some do.
Kind of like National Enquirer vs. Fact Check.
Thank you.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203236
08/26/2019 07:32 PM
08/26/2019 07:32 PM
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 3,555
Kennys Offline
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Kennys  Offline
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Joined: May 2002
Posts: 3,555
Even the sea is very calm.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Kennys] #203237
08/26/2019 08:06 PM
08/26/2019 08:06 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
Traveler
SXMScubaman  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
Hope not calm before the storm as they say.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203238
08/26/2019 08:15 PM
08/26/2019 08:15 PM
Joined: Feb 2019
Posts: 568
B
bran Online content
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bran  Online Content
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B
Joined: Feb 2019
Posts: 568
As mentioned before if you haven't already done so, click on this link, this guy is extremely detailed.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: bran] #203242
08/26/2019 09:38 PM
08/26/2019 09:38 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
Traveler
SXMScubaman  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
Nice site. Might bookmark it.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: bran] #203258
08/27/2019 08:04 AM
08/27/2019 08:04 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
sxmmartini Offline
Traveler
sxmmartini  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
Next...

Attached Files image.png
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: sxmmartini] #203260
08/27/2019 08:34 AM
08/27/2019 08:34 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
Traveler
Carol_Hill  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Wendy--Other people may understand those graphics, but I sure don't.

Dorian wasn't a problem for SXM but I wonder whether he will be coming to visit us here in Florida...


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203266
08/27/2019 09:14 AM
08/27/2019 09:14 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
Traveler
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
We may get some rain this evening. Hope it is kind to Puerto Rico.

You'll have to wait a day or two for a real FL forecast methinks


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203267
08/27/2019 09:23 AM
08/27/2019 09:23 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Yes, Puerto Rico definitely doesn't need any more problems. And it is still a LONG way away from Florida, for sure.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203283
08/27/2019 01:37 PM
08/27/2019 01:37 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
sxmmartini Offline
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sxmmartini  Offline
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Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
Computer models have it missing Haiti/ DR and just clipping Puerto Rico. TS Dorian then heads towards the bahamas and reaching Florida for the weekend.
Here is a good link for Florida residents... https://www.mynews13.com/fl/orlando/weather/tropical

Attached Files image.jpeg
Last edited by sxmmartini; 08/27/2019 04:12 PM.
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203285
08/27/2019 02:04 PM
08/27/2019 02:04 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,427
MIA
I
irina Offline
Traveler
irina  Offline
Traveler
I
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,427
MIA
Going out to get supplies now. Just need them anyway.
Hey Carol, I'm not signed out!!!!!!!!!!
i

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: irina] #203286
08/27/2019 02:07 PM
08/27/2019 02:07 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
Traveler
Carol_Hill  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
OK, not sure what was going on with that Irina, but go get those supplies! We're going to wait another day or so to see what happens.

I sure hope Puerto Rico doesn't get hit bad. They don't need it, for sure.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203303
08/27/2019 04:50 PM
08/27/2019 04:50 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
sxmmartini Offline
Traveler
sxmmartini  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
Raining now in SXM... It is amazing that the outer bands from TS reaches all the way to SXM.
https://cyclonicwx.com/floater/05L/ir/


"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it." Mae West
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203306
08/27/2019 05:11 PM
08/27/2019 05:11 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
Traveler
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
Lite rain for about 10 minutes here. Pretty bright out just now.


Meteorological Department St.Maarten
11 mins ·
PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR ST. MAARTEN
DATE ISSUED: Tuesday, August 27, 2019 @ 18:00 LST (22:00 UTC)
VALID UNTIL: Wednesday evening (18:00 LST) August 28, 2019

WEATHER:
Tonight through Wednesday evening: Generally cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Forecast High: 30°C / 86°F
Forecast Low: 23°C / 73°F

Sunset Today: 6:31 P.M.
Sunrise Tomorrow: 5:57 A.M.

SURFACE WINDS:
Tonight: Northeast to east with a moderate to fresh breeze of 13 to 20 miles per hour, and higher gusts.
Wednesday: East to southeast with a gentle to moderate breeze of 10 to 18 miles per hour, and possible higher gusts.

SYNOPSIS:
The outer bands of Tropical Storm Dorian has arrived over the local area. As a result, increased cloudiness and shower activity is expected through the forecast period. Some of these showers could be heavy at times and may be accompanied by thunderstorms, resulting in some street-flooding and/or rock slides in vulnerable areas. Residents and motorists in these areas are advised to exercise caution when in these areas.
Conditions are expected to improve once Dorian starts to move farther west away from our shores by late Wednesday.
Seas are expected to remain slight to moderate through the next few days, with waves peaking near 6 feet.

STATE OF THE SEA: Slight to Moderate
WAVES/SWELLS: 4 to 6 feet

SPECIAL FEATURE: At 5:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located about 194 miles south of St. Maarten, moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian will move across the northeastern Caribbean Sea tonight, and pass over or near western and central Puerto Rico on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Dorian is forecast to be near hurricane strength when it approaches Puerto Rico on Wednesday. Some weakening is expected after Dorian moves across the higher terrain of Puerto Rico Wednesday night.
The center of Tropical Storm Dorian is projected to pass about 142 miles southwest of St. Maarten early Wednesday, and thus poses no significant threat.

The Meteorological Department of St. Maarten will continue to monitor this system and keep the public updated accordingly.

OUTLOOK through Thursday evening: Partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated showers.


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203308
08/27/2019 05:42 PM
08/27/2019 05:42 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
Traveler
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
Beautiful sunset tonight!


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203312
08/27/2019 07:12 PM
08/27/2019 07:12 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
Traveler
SXMScubaman  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
Glad that's all the island got even though rain is needed.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: SXMScubaman] #203313
08/27/2019 07:15 PM
08/27/2019 07:15 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
Traveler
Carol_Hill  Offline
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Is the island still low on rain? I thought it had caught up somewhat.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203315
08/27/2019 07:30 PM
08/27/2019 07:30 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
Traveler
SXMScubaman  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
I was under the impression they still needed rain for greening up.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203316
08/27/2019 07:32 PM
08/27/2019 07:32 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
Traveler
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
We'll get more overnight for sure. The island is green, but very little rain the past few weeks. We could used "some".


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203317
08/27/2019 07:42 PM
08/27/2019 07:42 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
Traveler
Carol_Hill  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
OK, thanks.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203318
08/27/2019 07:53 PM
08/27/2019 07:53 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
Traveler
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
Puerto Rico now under hurricane watch


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203321
08/27/2019 10:09 PM
08/27/2019 10:09 PM
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 378
Maine USA
doctorj Offline
Traveler
doctorj  Offline
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Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 378
Maine USA
Thank you sxmmartini. I appreciate the updates.
carib cheers,
doctorj


It's Five O'Clock Somewhere........
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: irina] #203325
08/28/2019 05:03 AM
08/28/2019 05:03 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
sxmmartini Offline
Traveler
sxmmartini  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 6,529
Long Island, New York
Florida is in the track of TS Dorian. Get your supplies now!

Attached Files image.png
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: sxmmartini] #203329
08/28/2019 06:37 AM
08/28/2019 06:37 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
Traveler
Carol_Hill  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Great. Now, they are saying a cat 2 when it hits Florida..


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203330
08/28/2019 06:48 AM
08/28/2019 06:48 AM
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 1,253
Cincinnati area
Cincinnati_Kid Offline
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Cincinnati_Kid  Offline
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Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 1,253
Cincinnati area
Thank you for your report. St. Martin is in my thoughts !
Hope hurricane season is kind...
Don


Paradise is an island in the Caribbean!
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203331
08/28/2019 08:00 AM
08/28/2019 08:00 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline OP
Traveler
BillandElaine  Offline OP
Traveler
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 17,155
St Maarten


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203343
08/28/2019 11:08 AM
08/28/2019 11:08 AM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
Traveler
SXMScubaman  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
Just read it could be a cat 3 by the time it reaches Florida or Georgia.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: SXMScubaman] #203344
08/28/2019 11:26 AM
08/28/2019 11:26 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
Traveler
Carol_Hill  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 70,573
Central Florida!
Right. Starting to make some preparations now, although as of now, it's going further north than previous runs..


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203347
08/28/2019 11:40 AM
08/28/2019 11:40 AM
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 137
T
Tammy Offline
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Tammy  Offline
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T
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 137
Cat 3 oh nooo.


Be the person your dog thinks you are 💫
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203354
08/28/2019 12:21 PM
08/28/2019 12:21 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
Traveler
SXMScubaman  Offline
Traveler
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 11,253
Auburn, WA
Just in time for Labor Day weekend.

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