TravelTalkOnline Forums Travel and Vacation Forums St. Maarten - St. Martin Latest Forecast Re: the Evolving System ESE of SXM

ABNT20 KNHC 022332
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Danielle, located about 900 miles west of the Azores.

East of the Leeward Islands:
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft earlier
this afternoon indicated that the circulation associated with an
area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands has become better defined today, and the
plane reported that surface pressures have fallen a bit. If the
showers and thunderstorms associated with the low persist through
the evening, the system could become a tropical depression or
tropical storm as early as tonight.

The disturbance is expected to move generally west-northwestward at
about 10 mph, passing near or just to the north of the northern
Leeward Islands on Saturday, and north of the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Saturday night and Sunday. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains may occur over portions of the northern Leeward
Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next couple
of days, and interests in those areas should monitor the progress
of the system. Additional information on this system can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

No Irma (nothing close) but it looks like much of the weekend will see significant rain in SXM.