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Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: SXMScubaman] #203358
08/28/2019 01:30 PM
08/28/2019 01:30 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
Yeah well, wasn't exactly what we had planned.


Carol Hill
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Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203372
08/28/2019 02:30 PM
08/28/2019 02:30 PM
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 360
Sarasota, Florida
deputydog1157 Offline
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Sarasota, Florida
With it still being 5 days out, I'll wait a bit longer before fretting about it. Unfortunately the TV news and weather stations have to sensationalize in order to keep viewers. It also causes the complacency as it is the "Sky is falling" mentality. Just my .02 but after 25 years in Sarasota, I have ony put my hurricane shutters up once and that was 2017 for Irma.



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Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: deputydog1157] #203378
08/28/2019 02:56 PM
08/28/2019 02:56 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
deputy--I don't think you, in Sarasota, are in any real danger from this one.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203381
08/28/2019 02:58 PM
08/28/2019 02:58 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
Dorian is now a hurricane. Report in the USVI of 82 mph sustained and wind gusts of 111 mph!! Stay safe, everyone! SXM looks to have gotten off pretty easily on this one though.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203385
08/28/2019 03:06 PM
08/28/2019 03:06 PM
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 143
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Tammy Offline
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The weather channel is live now.
Dorian over USVI and BVI now.
Will continue on to affect Puerto Rico later this evening.
Strengthening now.
Center northwest of St Thomas now.

East Coast more so and even Gulf Coast Florida need to be on alert in case - expecting a cat 2 or cat 3 strength by then.

Puerto Rico now anxious and preparing.
Many homes there still covered with tarps.

Pray everyone is ok.

Last edited by Tammy; 08/28/2019 03:08 PM.

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Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: deputydog1157] #203386
08/28/2019 03:07 PM
08/28/2019 03:07 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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Computer models now have a hurricane plowing right through Florida and exiting into the Gulf of Mexico with a possible double landfall... All of Florida should be preparing now.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: sxmmartini] #203393
08/28/2019 03:24 PM
08/28/2019 03:24 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
How lovely.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203395
08/28/2019 03:45 PM
08/28/2019 03:45 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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It was a close call for St. Maarten/ St. Martin. For all those now in Hurricane Dorian's path stay safe!

Attached Files image.jpeg
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: sxmmartini] #203397
08/28/2019 04:23 PM
08/28/2019 04:23 PM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,057
Maryland/DC Metro
BeachKitten Offline
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Maryland/DC Metro
Saba didn't fare as well unfortunately.


"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" wink
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203439
08/29/2019 08:13 AM
08/29/2019 08:13 AM
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 684
Grosse Pointe, Michigan
Leagle49 Offline
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Leagle49  Offline
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Grosse Pointe, Michigan
Best of Luck Carol and Eric! Stay Safe!!

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Leagle49] #203441
08/29/2019 08:50 AM
08/29/2019 08:50 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
thanks. Sent Eric out to get gas for the gen this morning. We'll see what the forecast is later before we decide to board up. The current track is about the worst case scenario for us. But of course we have a while to go yet.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203445
08/29/2019 09:08 AM
08/29/2019 09:08 AM
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 922
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SammyM Offline
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This is why I don't live in Florida. But, many relatives there in Port St. Lucie, Ft. Pierce and Winter Park near Orlando. Hopefully, this won't be a full blown Cat 3 when it reaches the Florida coast.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203449
08/29/2019 09:40 AM
08/29/2019 09:40 AM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,777
Rhode Island
RonDon Offline
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RonDon  Offline
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Rhode Island
Carol, I just checked that website someone listed here and when I watched it this morning there's something about a high pressure coming from the north east that will bother and determine how storm travels. Could hit near Pt Lucie and go across FLA to panhandle and even to LA or skirt up coast skimming lots of FL and into GA, SC. It's very informative, not just carribean. Son in Parrish, FL is now watching.

You are in our prayers.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Last edited by RonDon; 08/29/2019 09:41 AM.
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203452
08/29/2019 10:43 AM
08/29/2019 10:43 AM
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 618
jenniboston Offline
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The spaghetti models are pretty tight for the next day or so, then go whacky when this thing approaches the Florida coast. Going to have to keep an eye on this one for a couple of more days! frown

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203453
08/29/2019 11:03 AM
08/29/2019 11:03 AM
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Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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sxmmartini  Offline
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NHC 11AM update...

Attached Files image.jpegimage.jpeg
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203455
08/29/2019 11:31 AM
08/29/2019 11:31 AM
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bran Offline
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This is the latest from that Levi at tropicaltidbits...............

Ridge over NC (orange) builds as Dorian approaches, then weakens. A slower Dorian wouldn't get as far west before turning north into the weakness. There's even a glimmer of hope for an offshore track. But consensus is central FL landfall.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203456
08/29/2019 11:45 AM
08/29/2019 11:45 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,519
MIA
I
irina Offline
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MIA
We are all on alert. No one knows where this is going. Press conference in Dade County now.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203458
08/29/2019 12:13 PM
08/29/2019 12:13 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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Auburn, WA
National news is now projecting a cat 4 by the time it reaches Florida.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203459
08/29/2019 12:40 PM
08/29/2019 12:40 PM
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 4,400
Kennys Offline
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Kennys  Offline
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Wishing everyone well . I do have two sisters there too.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203460
08/29/2019 01:00 PM
08/29/2019 01:00 PM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,777
Rhode Island
RonDon Offline
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RonDon  Offline
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Rhode Island
Originally Posted by Carol_Hill
deputy--I don't think you, in Sarasota, are in any real danger from this one.


One model shows storm entering Florida then crossing state, exiting near Deputy and on to panhandle and possibly Mississippi and/or Louisiana.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: irina] #203461
08/29/2019 01:07 PM
08/29/2019 01:07 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
Irina--really wacky storm. Forecasters have been very wrong about almost everything on this one so far.. crazy


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203462
08/29/2019 01:24 PM
08/29/2019 01:24 PM
Joined: Feb 2019
Posts: 709
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bran Offline
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Naples, Marco Island area here......went through Wilma and Irma(only just got fixing the house) and wondering like everyone what to do......Not the best time to show this but this site you can punch in where you live and play around with wind speed, projected paths, and a whole bunch of things including seeing where it might be on Monday and Tuesday......

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=16.54;-68.41;6&l=wind&t=20170919/01

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: bran] #203463
08/29/2019 01:43 PM
08/29/2019 01:43 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
bran--the latest track brought the d*mn thing to within about 10 miles of our house, as either a cat 1 or a cat 2, so that's about all I need to know for now..


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203464
08/29/2019 01:49 PM
08/29/2019 01:49 PM
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Posts: 709
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bran Offline
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Keeps changing Carol........my area keeps talking about a cat 4(where does it say a cat 1 or two?) with the European forecast usually more accurate than the American one which shows further South. But try not to worry about this. They cannot possibly pinpoint 10 miles from you 4 days out!

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: bran] #203467
08/29/2019 02:49 PM
08/29/2019 02:49 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
bran--we're quite a bit inland, so it will be lesser here than at the coast. I know everything may well change in 4 days, but just saying that currently it's the worst case scenario for us, so we are trying to prepare for that..


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203468
08/29/2019 03:34 PM
08/29/2019 03:34 PM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 504
Ctrl. FL
beachbound Offline
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beachbound  Offline
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Ctrl. FL
Also a central florida resident - Praying God blows it to the west and out to sea.....fingers crossed


"We are not human beings going thru a temporary spiritual experience...........We are spiritual beings going thru a temporary human experience"
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203470
08/29/2019 04:36 PM
08/29/2019 04:36 PM
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 922
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SammyM Offline
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Pressure dropping which is not a good sign. Down to 986 mb. Cousins in Ft. Pierce and Port St. Lucie could be heading to Atlanta for an extended Labor Day weekend. Well, this is the season so no surprises here.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: beachbound] #203471
08/29/2019 04:55 PM
08/29/2019 04:55 PM
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 270
F
freedomfighter Offline
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Posts: 270
Another central Florida resident here. Just received an email from VRBO telling me that there are huge discounts still available for Labor Day weekend beach rentals in Florida!

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: freedomfighter] #203473
08/29/2019 05:13 PM
08/29/2019 05:13 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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Florida supermarket puts Dorians path on a cookie cake???

https://www.wfmz.com/news/cnn-natio...dorians-path-on-a-cookie-cake/1114736995

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203476
08/29/2019 06:42 PM
08/29/2019 06:42 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
I moved this here to People Talk because it is no longer about SXM.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203485
08/29/2019 10:41 PM
08/29/2019 10:41 PM
Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 2,161
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PelicanPirate Offline
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Latest news says could make landfall in Florida as a Cat 4, time to hit Publix and Home Depot and gas up the car and maybe head North if in Florida.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: PelicanPirate] #203486
08/29/2019 11:29 PM
08/29/2019 11:29 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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Tropical Tidbits video thursday by Levi
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ozRRjF7MC7c

For those who use twitter here is a good twitter feed.. .


https://mobile.twitter.com/mattlanza/lists/dorian

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: sxmmartini] #203504
08/30/2019 09:21 AM
08/30/2019 09:21 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
The track has moved a bit further south this morning. Good news for us, not so good for those in south Florida.


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203510
08/30/2019 10:59 AM
08/30/2019 10:59 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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NHC new link for Hurricane Dorian...

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: sxmmartini] #203513
08/30/2019 11:23 AM
08/30/2019 11:23 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
11 AM is REALLY different than before. Almost at West Palm and going straight up the coast of Florida, almost.. Wow. Good for us, but REALLY bad for Florida...


Carol Hill
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: Carol_Hill] #203514
08/30/2019 01:33 PM
08/30/2019 01:33 PM
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Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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Youtube video of Hurricane Dorian's Lightning put to Hans Zimmer music...

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-HT5GTByT2U

I thought the cookie cake with a decoration of Hurricane Dorian's path was tasteless but this Miami tweet tops that...

https://mobile.twitter.com/MiamiHerald/status/1167502329622552581

Last edited by sxmmartini; 08/30/2019 02:33 PM.
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203539
08/30/2019 11:45 PM
08/30/2019 11:45 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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Auburn, WA
Cat 4 now.

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: SXMScubaman] #203541
08/31/2019 04:17 AM
08/31/2019 04:17 AM
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Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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The Bahamas are in the direct path... but HD curves north and rides the Florida coast all the way to GA, SC and NC.

I am heading north now for Vermont. Have a great Labor Day Weekend!

Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: BillandElaine] #203544
08/31/2019 07:42 AM
08/31/2019 07:42 AM
Joined: Apr 2001
Posts: 1,562
Long Island, NY
RICKnGRACE_LI_NY Offline
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Long Island, NY
Appears that Dorian will not score a direct hit on Florida. Most recent model has it staying off the coast and heading north. Central Florida will be spared.

The direct hit seems to be around Charleston SC. Hopefully it will continue to curve out to sea.


Rick and Grace
Re: Hurricane Dorian [Re: RICKnGRACE_LI_NY] #203559
08/31/2019 08:38 AM
08/31/2019 08:38 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Central Florida!
Yes, the latest guidance is good news for Florida, anyway. We will see what today brings.


Carol Hill
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