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The long term models show a near endless stream of those "Red X's" or Monsoon Troughs coming of the continent of Africa. There are two more waiting their turn to exit Africa now on the weather maps. The long term models going out more than 10 days have them all steering north of the Caribbean or dissipating mid Atlantic for at least the next two weeks. That does not preclude a storm forming on top of or nearby the BVI.
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