Islandgem makes a very good point. However, what the second wave will consist of is going to be the question once summer winds down. The actual virus itself (SARS-CoV-2) will likely mutate to some degree in one direction or another: more virulent or less virulent. Throughout the summer of 2020 the hope is that higher humidity combined with greater exposure to sunlight (and UV rays) will begin to take a serious toll on the virus. If and when that happens, the likelihood of the virus mutating into a less deadly form is actually greater than the opposite happening. After all, a virus that becomes so deadly that it kills its host also ends it's own life cycle. The COVID-19 disease will most likely still be around this fall, but possibly in a form that mimics less virulent strains of other coronaviruses that produce symptoms no worse than the common cold. So, making plans now is definitely risky and I wouldn't recommend doing this without some type of travel insurance that covers interruptions and closures because of a virus. If all goes well, the possibility of receiving a vaccine in December for COVID-19 (along with the normal influenza vaccine that we all should get in the fall) would make a return visit to SXM next winter quite possible. It's okay to plan (and it takes our minds of this to some degree), but I would wait a bit before locking in any reservations or air fares.