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Danny is back to a tropical storm
#65053
08/18/2015 01:31 PM
08/18/2015 01:31 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,601 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
OP
Traveler
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OP
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,601
Central Florida!
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TD 4 is forecast to be a hurricane by Friday! Not sure what the track will be, past Sunday, but this one wears watching for sure..
Last edited by Carol_Hill; 08/22/2015 09:07 PM.
Carol Hill
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Re: Storm season is here!
[Re: Carol_Hill]
#65054
08/18/2015 02:13 PM
08/18/2015 02:13 PM
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Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 200 Oklahoma
LivinLarge
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 200
Oklahoma
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All the current projections show it heading right through the VI's. <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/cry.gif" alt="" />
Allan
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Re: Storm season is here!
[Re: StormJib]
#65058
08/18/2015 04:21 PM
08/18/2015 04:21 PM
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Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 8,530 Ya never know...
HillsideView
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 8,530
Ya never know...
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They couldn't evacuate very many. Shelter in place. Anyone planning to travel during hurricane season should have their own plan B in place. Don't rely on someone else. You take your chances.
My foot fits right into my shoe and my shoe will fit right into your...
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Re: Tropical Storm Danny
[Re: Eric_Hill]
#65062
08/18/2015 05:46 PM
08/18/2015 05:46 PM
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Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,999 Macon, Georgia
GlennA
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,999
Macon, Georgia
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I will make a SWAG at it being over the islands by late Monday or Tuesday Morning. The questions are which islands and how strong. There are early indications of a ridge filling in to the north. If it builds it will keep Danny to the south and keep it away from the dry Sahara dust so it can srengthen. If it turns out to be a weak ridge Danny will turn more northward towards the BVI but hit the Sahara dust, loose its moisture and weaken significantly.
IMHO, the best scenario would be for the center to pass just south enough for the BVI to get a nice wet juicy kiss from a couple of the spiral arms.
Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. - Mark Twain
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Re: Storm season is here!
[Re: StormJib]
#65064
08/18/2015 07:18 PM
08/18/2015 07:18 PM
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Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 4,557 Toronto, Ontario
gordaguy2
Traveler
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Traveler
Traveler
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 4,557
Toronto, Ontario
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We've been through a few hurricanes (including Earl) while at adagio villa and can honestly say they haven't been that big a deal - the generators have worked and aside from a day of rain and wind not really a disaster. Wouldn't like to go through one in a boat but generally the BVI building standards are excellent - no trailer parks to be seen.
GordaGuy2
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Re: Storm season is here!
[Re: gordaguy2]
#65065
08/18/2015 08:58 PM
08/18/2015 08:58 PM
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Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 10
Herve
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 10
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Going down tomorrow for 10 days....Hopefully will be lucky and be spared. just in case i'm following closely through this site. Spaguetii models
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Re: Storm season is here!
[Re: Herve]
#65066
08/19/2015 01:16 AM
08/19/2015 01:16 AM
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Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 414 Memphis, TN
beerMe
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 414
Memphis, TN
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Herve,
Good luck! We went down a few years ago in September. We flew around a hurricane to get there, had a force three pass 75 miles to the south of St. Croix, then had to fly around it on the way back. We just had to sit it out in CGB for a couple of days, we got some gusts and a lot of rain but that was it. Keep in touch with the base, you'll have plenty of time to do what you need to do. Wishing you all the best!
Life involves risks, take some prudent ones (NOT with the BVI ferries)!
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Re: Tropical Storm Danny
[Re: Eric_Hill]
#65068
08/19/2015 12:57 PM
08/19/2015 12:57 PM
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Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,427 New Jersey, USA
DanS
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,427
New Jersey, USA
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It has just been classified as Tropical Storm Danny Ooh, a storm named after me! Hope I'm kind to the islands. Dan
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Hurricane Danny
[Re: gordaguy2]
#65072
08/20/2015 07:42 PM
08/20/2015 07:42 PM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,601 Central Florida!
Carol_Hill
OP
Traveler
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OP
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,601
Central Florida!
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Yes, just some old fashioned rain would be wonderful, throughout all of the Caribbean.
Carol Hill
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Re: Hurricane Danny
[Re: Will_L]
#65075
08/21/2015 09:53 AM
08/21/2015 09:53 AM
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Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 969 NC, USA
capndar
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 969
NC, USA
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looks to me to be straight on for the US/BVI - although predicted downgrade back to TS before landfall
Capndar Masters 50 GT Sail/Power/Towing 3rd generation sailor
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Re: Now tropical storm Danny
[Re: periwinkle]
#65083
08/21/2015 12:52 PM
08/21/2015 12:52 PM
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Joined: Feb 2002
Posts: 3,618 Woodstock, GA
RickinAtlanta
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Feb 2002
Posts: 3,618
Woodstock, GA
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periwinkle said: Are the Virgin Islands still all brown and super dry? We were in St. John in April and they hadn't had rain in quite a while. Virgin Gorda was VERY brown and ry in July. Hope you both are doing well Connie!
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Re: Now Hurricane Danny, now Cat 3!!
[Re: Carol_Hill]
#65088
08/21/2015 09:13 PM
08/21/2015 09:13 PM
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Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826 Tortola, BVI
LianeLeTendre
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 826
Tortola, BVI
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I am really confused about this storm. All the computer models are showing the storm tracking almost directly at us.
In the past, when we were three to four days away from a storm hitting the BVI, my knee would be killing me ... but it's not. I have no pain at all. It usually swells up like a balloon and the pain is excruciating. But so far, there's nothing!
Now of course, that could change at any time, but it's as though my internal barometer is broken. I almost hate to say this (in case my knee is just being slow on the uptake) ... but I almost, and I can't stress the "almost" part enough, I almost believe the storm won't be coming this way at all and if it does, it won't be much of a storm.
I know it sounds ridiculous, but my knee has never let me down before. It has always been my own personal early warning system. But this time, I've got nothing! So either my knee is no longer reliable ... or ... the storm will somehow dogleg and completely miss us ... or ... it fizzles out before it gets here.
Personally, I hope my knee is right. <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Grin.gif" alt="" />
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Re: Now Hurricane Danny, now Cat 3!!
[Re: LianeLeTendre]
#65090
08/22/2015 10:45 AM
08/22/2015 10:45 AM
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Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,999 Macon, Georgia
GlennA
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,999
Macon, Georgia
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Probably because there is a big area of dry Sahara air between you and Danny. Your knee should start indicating trouble some time tomorrow.
Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. - Mark Twain
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