There are several models out there with various levels of activity shown. NHC shows 10-20% chance of winds >40 knots, GSF13 predicts 30 knots in the BVI. ECMWF Model is 6-7Bft and the GFS model shows 7 Bft. All of those models currently predict over 25 knots. I've doubled up my lines and the yacht management companies at Nanny Cay have done the same to their boats at the docks. I used today to finally get 3 extra fenders out of my bilge storage and pump them up and attach them to the boat. I think those fenders have been in there for 6 years. Unused.