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Tropical storm warning issued for SXM #232611
08/20/2020 08:47 AM
08/20/2020 08:47 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline OP
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Carol_Hill  Offline OP
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Central Florida!
For St. Maarten for TD 13.

And other yellow cross off of Africa

Last edited by Carol_Hill; 08/21/2020 11:31 AM.

Carol Hill
SXM Sponsors
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232622
08/20/2020 10:48 AM
08/20/2020 10:48 AM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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SXMScubaman  Offline
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Auburn, WA

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232628
08/20/2020 11:07 AM
08/20/2020 11:07 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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sxmmartini  Offline
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It looks to be wobbling a little north of St. Maarten/ St. Martin but it can still bring heavy rain and wind. Florida needs to keep track of this TD13 because the models show it missing the big islands that would have weakened the system.

Attached Files image.jpeg
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: sxmmartini] #232630
08/20/2020 11:19 AM
08/20/2020 11:19 AM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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SXMScubaman  Offline
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Auburn, WA
Yes. As I posted above it's forecast to be 60 miles north of St Maarten and will bring 35 mph winds and heavy rain to the island.

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: SXMScubaman] #232631
08/20/2020 11:36 AM
08/20/2020 11:36 AM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,057
Maryland/DC Metro
BeachKitten Offline
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BeachKitten  Offline
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Maryland/DC Metro
They are getting out the buckets and towels!


"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" wink
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232636
08/20/2020 12:56 PM
08/20/2020 12:56 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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sxmmartini  Offline
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Here is the 11AM update that has it a TS passing SXM and Hurricane going into the GOM?

Attached Files image.png
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: sxmmartini] #232637
08/20/2020 01:00 PM
08/20/2020 01:00 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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SXMScubaman  Offline
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Auburn, WA

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: sxmmartini] #232641
08/20/2020 01:27 PM
08/20/2020 01:27 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline OP
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Carol_Hill  Offline OP
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Just figured out the GOM means "Gulf of Mexico"... Anyway, that model has it basically going into Tampa, which is a really bad scenario for us, personally. We have had a really bad week here, so don't want to even think about this..


Carol Hill
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232668
08/21/2020 08:26 AM
08/21/2020 08:26 AM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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Updated spaghetti models still have TD13 tracking north of SXM. The Gulf of Mexico has two storm systems heading and meeting just a social distance away from each other?

Attached Files image.jpeg
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: sxmmartini] #232674
08/21/2020 09:06 AM
08/21/2020 09:06 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline OP
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StormCarib has the following with regard to TD 13 for SXM "The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.6N, 63.0W or about 37.8 miles (60.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 16 hours and 19 minutes from now (Saturday, August 22 at 1:24AM AST)."


Carol Hill
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232676
08/21/2020 09:30 AM
08/21/2020 09:30 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 18,029
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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BillandElaine  Offline
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St Maarten
Tropical storm Laura has been found by hurricane hunters to be further south than they thought.
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC/photos/a.126275484104607/3421479151250874/?type=3&theater

Last edited by BillandElaine; 08/21/2020 09:31 AM.

Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BillandElaine] #232677
08/21/2020 10:02 AM
08/21/2020 10:02 AM
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 4,400
Kennys Offline
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Kennys  Offline
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Thanks Elaine and meaning it's further away from us ?

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232678
08/21/2020 10:06 AM
08/21/2020 10:06 AM
Joined: Mar 2001
Posts: 1,257
Colorado and Sailing the World
Maria_and_Steve Offline
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Colorado and Sailing the World
The best source of information is the NHC (National Hurricane Center). If you want a LOT more information, this is the best: https://spaghettimodels.com/

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Kennys] #232679
08/21/2020 10:10 AM
08/21/2020 10:10 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 18,029
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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BillandElaine  Offline
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St Maarten
Closer, Lesley. Waiting for the 11 am advisory to see the new models.


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232683
08/21/2020 10:38 AM
08/21/2020 10:38 AM
Joined: Mar 2001
Posts: 1,257
Colorado and Sailing the World
Maria_and_Steve Offline
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Colorado and Sailing the World
SXM should be getting an outer band right now, with more intensity hitting Guadeloupe and heading for SXM.

Attached Files Screen Shot 2020-08-21 at 8.31.52 AM.jpg
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232684
08/21/2020 10:52 AM
08/21/2020 10:52 AM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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Auburn, WA

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232687
08/21/2020 11:16 AM
08/21/2020 11:16 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 18,029
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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BillandElaine  Offline
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St Maarten
Now a warning, coming this way. Luckily, just a tropical storm.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/211455.shtml?


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BillandElaine] #232695
08/21/2020 12:04 PM
08/21/2020 12:04 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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Stay safe... It jogged to the south? Basically now going over St. Maarten/ St. Martin.
Some have been saying without hurricane hunter planes flying into the storm it is harder to predict because there is not as much data coming from air and marine traffic. The cut back on air travel has cut back on data to feed to the computer models. The models are all over the place with Laura so just prepare and not rely so much on spaghetti models I guess?

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232699
08/21/2020 01:19 PM
08/21/2020 01:19 PM
Joined: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,075
Louisiana
o2bnsxm Offline
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Louisiana
Here in New Orleans, we have 14 going West of us, and 13 (now named Laura) going East of us. It's gonna be close.

Last edited by o2bnsxm; 08/21/2020 01:22 PM.
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: o2bnsxm] #232701
08/21/2020 01:25 PM
08/21/2020 01:25 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline OP
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Carol_Hill  Offline OP
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Yeah, you seem to kind of be in the cross-hairs at the moment. Stay safe!


Carol Hill
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BillandElaine] #232702
08/21/2020 01:35 PM
08/21/2020 01:35 PM
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 4,400
Kennys Offline
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Kennys  Offline
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Thanks and good weather right now .

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Kennys] #232703
08/21/2020 01:58 PM
08/21/2020 01:58 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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Hope it stays that way.

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232704
08/21/2020 02:11 PM
08/21/2020 02:11 PM
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Posts: 7,131
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sxmmartini Offline
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2PM advisory from NHC

Attached Files image.jpeg
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232707
08/21/2020 03:05 PM
08/21/2020 03:05 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,406
Anguilla, British West Indies
NeilRooney Offline
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NeilRooney  Offline
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Anguilla, British West Indies
A few gusts on Anguilla.........


Another Day On Planet Earth
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232708
08/21/2020 03:09 PM
08/21/2020 03:09 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 18,029
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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BillandElaine  Offline
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St Maarten
Beautiful day so far!


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BillandElaine] #232710
08/21/2020 04:25 PM
08/21/2020 04:25 PM
Joined: Apr 2001
Posts: 13,428
Brookfield, CT.
pat Offline
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pat  Offline
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Brookfield, CT.
Hope for all involved it stays that way. Be safe. 😊😊


Respectfully,

pat



"Always keep your words soft and sweet, just in case you have to eat
them."
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: o2bnsxm] #232713
08/21/2020 06:16 PM
08/21/2020 06:16 PM
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sxmmartini Offline
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https://www.businessinsider.com/what-happens-two-hurricanes-collide-fujiwhara-effect-2017-9

Fujiwhara effect: sorry I found this info but had to pass it on.

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232741
08/21/2020 10:03 PM
08/21/2020 10:03 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,406
Anguilla, British West Indies
NeilRooney Offline
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NeilRooney  Offline
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Anguilla, British West Indies
Breezy and heat lightning at 10PM. Just had dinner and drinks at Roy's in Sandy Ground(Anguilla). No rain so far.


Another Day On Planet Earth
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: NeilRooney] #232746
08/21/2020 10:25 PM
08/21/2020 10:25 PM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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Auburn, WA
I was told by a respected and knowledgeable meteorologist there is no such thing as heat lightning. Lightning is lightning plain and simple.

Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: SXMScubaman] #232747
08/21/2020 11:09 PM
08/21/2020 11:09 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,406
Anguilla, British West Indies
NeilRooney Offline
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NeilRooney  Offline
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Posts: 2,406
Anguilla, British West Indies


Another Day On Planet Earth
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: SXMScubaman] #232750
08/22/2020 02:02 AM
08/22/2020 02:02 AM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,057
Maryland/DC Metro
BeachKitten Offline
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BeachKitten  Offline
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I lived overseas in the tropics. “Heat” lightening exists.


"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" wink
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232753
08/22/2020 07:34 AM
08/22/2020 07:34 AM
Joined: Apr 2001
Posts: 1,562
Long Island, NY
RICKnGRACE_LI_NY Offline
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Long Island, NY
Anyone on Island up early? Electricity? Flooding? Damage?

Hope and pray everyone is well! Check in when you can.


Rick and Grace
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: RICKnGRACE_LI_NY] #232754
08/22/2020 07:38 AM
08/22/2020 07:38 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 18,029
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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BillandElaine  Offline
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St Maarten
Everything ok here. There may be some local flooding as there has been some rain, but I don't think too much. Still a bit windy showery this morning, but I can sit on my balcony quite comfortably.


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BillandElaine] #232756
08/22/2020 07:59 AM
08/22/2020 07:59 AM
Joined: Apr 2001
Posts: 1,562
Long Island, NY
RICKnGRACE_LI_NY Offline
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Long Island, NY
Good News Elaine! Thank God! Hope the flooding is not too bad. Wonder how Lake Atrium did 🤞Stay safe.


Rick and Grace
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BillandElaine] #232758
08/22/2020 08:29 AM
08/22/2020 08:29 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline OP
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Carol_Hill  Offline OP
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Good news, Elaine! thanks. Yes, it will be interesting to see how Lake Atrium did. I figure Lake Mullet will probably be there though??


Carol Hill
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: Carol_Hill] #232759
08/22/2020 08:38 AM
08/22/2020 08:38 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 18,029
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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BillandElaine  Offline
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St Maarten
Lake Mullet has been pretty good most of the time in recent years, usually just a pond. So long as they keep the little canal clear. Still getting some squalls, so not venturing in the car any time soon. Happy I can sit on the balcony a breathe in the cool air! So sick of AC!


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BillandElaine] #232760
08/22/2020 08:51 AM
08/22/2020 08:51 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 75,776
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline OP
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Carol_Hill  Offline OP
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OK, glad to hear that re Lake Mullet. I certainly know what you mean about a/c. We enjoy it when we get to October/November around here and we can turn our a/c off and have the doors open.


Carol Hill
Re: Tropical storm warning issued for SXM [Re: BeachKitten] #232763
08/22/2020 10:36 AM
08/22/2020 10:36 AM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,327
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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SXMScubaman  Offline
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Originally Posted by BeachKitten
I lived overseas in the tropics. “Heat” lightening exists.

It is if you want to refer to it as "Heat Lightening" but it really isn't. Refer to the links above.


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