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...looks to heading towards the island chain. We should keep an eye on this one.
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I've been watching this one for 2 days. It will be a couple more days before the models begin to align, at the moment it looks like this:
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***whispers*** "north, north, go north young fellow"
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I really do not like September any more
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I like using the spaghetti models, I choose the projected storm path I like best and just ignore the other ones as they are evidently incorrect.
That's my method and I'm sticking to it
Last edited by Zanshin; 09/16/2021 11:13 AM .
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The further west this goes before starting its northern turn the more it concerns me...
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It’s going to go north 🙏🙏 Now an orange x
Last edited by calsail; 09/16/2021 09:19 PM .
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In case you did not know, you can use Tropical Tidbits to get these spaghetti tracks and other good info. Yes, the projection is clearly shifting north. Appears the BVI will be affected Tuesday. We arrive Wednesday afternoon, obviously watching this closely.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
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Now named Peter, but looks to be headed north of the islands, as a tropical storm.
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Look behind "Peter"...oops.
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TD Seventeen is no threat to anybody except fishes..
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TD Seventeen is no threat to anybody except fishes..
And Ships/vessels at sea in the area.
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OK, but ships should be able to sail out of harm's way.
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Another disturbance is coming off of Africa (after Peter and Rose). It's already given a 50% chance of formation. Hope it goes out to sea like the other two!
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Peter seems to be a nothingburger, but there is a new storm coming off Africa to watch
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Hooooo boy. We might be in for something next Thursdayish.... Invest 98 -> Hurricane Sam. This is the Windy forecast for the BVI next Thursday the 30th
Attached Images
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The early spaghetti plots show 98L (Sam) starting a turn north before it crosses 55W roughly in 7 days. Currently projected to be a Cat 1. Obviously things can change. Follow Levi Cowan's excellent website:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
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98L is showing a north turn missing the BVI's
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Sam (98l) is currently projected to pass north of the BVI.s as a cat 3 or 4 so a major hurricane
![[Linked Image]](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/95L_tracks_latest.png)
![[Linked Image]](https://zanshin-sailing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/zanshin-transparent-black-logo-350x100-1-150x43.png){kind=logo}
