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Keep an Eye on the Tropics #305793
09/03/2023 02:50 PM
09/03/2023 02:50 PM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,175
M
MIDiver Offline OP
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MIDiver  Offline OP
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M
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 1,175
Invest 95 forecast isn’t looking too good……

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Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305812
09/03/2023 07:54 PM
09/03/2023 07:54 PM
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 273
Va Beach
Kmon Offline
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Kmon  Offline
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Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 273
Va Beach
The latest track (2PM) has it going north of the islands.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305898
09/05/2023 01:14 PM
09/05/2023 01:14 PM
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 17,081
Tortola/ Sonoma, California
Manpot Offline
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Manpot  Offline
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Joined: May 2002
Posts: 17,081
Tortola/ Sonoma, California
Keep an eye on trop depression 13...

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305901
09/05/2023 01:44 PM
09/05/2023 01:44 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,151
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,151
Central Florida!
Right, kmon, as of now, going north. Hopefully that continues.


Carol Hill
Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305902
09/05/2023 02:00 PM
09/05/2023 02:00 PM
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 17,081
Tortola/ Sonoma, California
Manpot Offline
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Manpot  Offline
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Posts: 17,081
Tortola/ Sonoma, California
t NHC track has the south side of the track going over the Virgins..

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305909
09/05/2023 03:58 PM
09/05/2023 03:58 PM
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 420
Virgin Gorda, BVI
V
VirginGordaResident Offline
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VirginGordaResident  Offline
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V
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 420
Virgin Gorda, BVI
It is definitely worth keeping an eye.

Thankfully, at this time, all the models are pretty consistently predicting it heading just north of the islands as a Major Hurricane.

Attached Files Screenshot 2023-09-05 155640.pngScreenshot 2023-09-05 155655.pngScreenshot 2023-09-05 155709.png
Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: VirginGordaResident] #305958
09/07/2023 08:56 AM
09/07/2023 08:56 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,151
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Posts: 83,151
Central Florida!
As of now, looks to be good news for the BVI and USVI. Folks in the Bahamas and (perhaps Florida again????) need to be aware.


Carol Hill
Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305962
09/07/2023 09:17 AM
09/07/2023 09:17 AM
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,691
Memphis, BVI, CT
R
RatmansWife Offline
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RatmansWife  Offline
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R
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,691
Memphis, BVI, CT
Wonder if we'll be as lucky with the next one. It's worth watching. We continue to bolster our hurricane defenses, so part of me wants to see how successful those improvements are.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: RatmansWife] #305963
09/07/2023 09:20 AM
09/07/2023 09:20 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 83,151
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Posts: 83,151
Central Florida!
Which "next one"?? If you're talking about the red "x" currently on the NHC website, that one is predicted to steer to the north way before it approaches the islands. Of course at this point, we are basically only about halfway through the season..


Carol Hill
Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305969
09/07/2023 11:57 AM
09/07/2023 11:57 AM
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 273
Va Beach
Kmon Offline
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Kmon  Offline
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Posts: 273
Va Beach
Another low pressure area is supposed to come off of Africa in a few days. Some are saying this one will go on a similar path as Lee has done

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306108
09/11/2023 11:20 AM
09/11/2023 11:20 AM
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 61
Charlotte NC
gracet03 Offline
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gracet03  Offline
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Posts: 61
Charlotte NC
Oh i see wind is from the West.
What was sailing like with a reversed Wind direction , when the wind is from the WEST.
( caused by LEE circulation.) If one does a trip would you plan a clockwise trip instead of a counterclockwise ?

(if there is any sailing?)

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: gracet03] #306109
09/11/2023 11:42 AM
09/11/2023 11:42 AM
Joined: Dec 2019
Posts: 181
18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W
D
duckfat Offline
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duckfat  Offline
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D
Joined: Dec 2019
Posts: 181
18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W
Originally Posted by gracet03
Oh i see wind is from the West.
What was sailing like with a reversed Wind direction , when the wind is from the WEST.
( caused by LEE circulation.) If one does a trip would you plan a clockwise trip instead of a counterclockwise ?

(if there is any sailing?)


Westerly winds rarely hold for more than a couple of days.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306110
09/11/2023 12:55 PM
09/11/2023 12:55 PM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 7,118
GA/NC
GeorgeC1 Offline
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GeorgeC1  Offline
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Posts: 7,118
GA/NC
I am more concerned about how much sand Lee strips off the N facing beaches.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: GeorgeC1] #306114
09/11/2023 02:31 PM
09/11/2023 02:31 PM
Joined: Dec 2019
Posts: 181
18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W
D
duckfat Offline
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duckfat  Offline
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D
Joined: Dec 2019
Posts: 181
18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W
Originally Posted by GeorgeC1
I am more concerned about how much sand Lee strips off the N facing beaches.

I have a camera on the beach in front of our house on Anegada. So far, the seas have been less than forecast, and have no effect on the beach at all. The northerly wind is bringing us a lot of sargassum, though.

Attached Files Capture.JPG
Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306132
09/12/2023 10:53 AM
09/12/2023 10:53 AM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 7,118
GA/NC
GeorgeC1 Offline
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GeorgeC1  Offline
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 7,118
GA/NC
Surf is up in CDB today. Pretty rough in White Bay with a wrap around surge.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306144
09/12/2023 08:02 PM
09/12/2023 08:02 PM
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,347
USVI
LocalSailor Offline
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LocalSailor  Offline
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Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,347
USVI

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306371
09/20/2023 01:44 PM
09/20/2023 01:44 PM
Joined: Apr 2019
Posts: 165
Houston, TX
Matt W Offline
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Matt W  Offline
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Posts: 165
Houston, TX
Here's the next one to watch. NHC has a 70% chance of development moving towards the Leewards. Euro and GFS are split on intensity.

Attached Files Untitled design (22).png

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