Keep an Eye on the Tropics

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Keep an Eye on the Tropics #305793 09/03/2023 02:50 PM 09/03/2023 02:50 PM
Joined: Jun 2020 Posts: 1,154 M MIDiver OP Traveler
MIDiver OP Traveler M Joined: Jun 2020 Posts: 1,154	Invest 95 forecast isn’t looking too good……

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Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305812 09/03/2023 07:54 PM 09/03/2023 07:54 PM
Joined: Jul 2016 Posts: 272 Va Beach Kmon Traveler
Kmon Traveler Joined: Jul 2016 Posts: 272 Va Beach	The latest track (2PM) has it going north of the islands.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305898 09/05/2023 01:14 PM 09/05/2023 01:14 PM
Joined: May 2002 Posts: 17,041 Tortola/ Sonoma, California Manpot Traveler
Manpot Traveler Joined: May 2002 Posts: 17,041 Tortola/ Sonoma, California	Keep an eye on trop depression 13...

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305901 09/05/2023 01:44 PM 09/05/2023 01:44 PM
Joined: Aug 2000 Posts: 82,734 Central Florida! Carol_Hill Traveler
Carol_Hill Traveler Joined: Aug 2000 Posts: 82,734 Central Florida!	Right, kmon, as of now, going north. Hopefully that continues. Carol Hill

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305902 09/05/2023 02:00 PM 09/05/2023 02:00 PM
Joined: May 2002 Posts: 17,041 Tortola/ Sonoma, California Manpot Traveler
Manpot Traveler Joined: May 2002 Posts: 17,041 Tortola/ Sonoma, California	t NHC track has the south side of the track going over the Virgins..

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305909 09/05/2023 03:58 PM 09/05/2023 03:58 PM
Joined: Mar 2020 Posts: 393 Virgin Gorda, BVI V VirginGordaResident Traveler
VirginGordaResident Traveler V Joined: Mar 2020 Posts: 393 Virgin Gorda, BVI	It is definitely worth keeping an eye. Thankfully, at this time, all the models are pretty consistently predicting it heading just north of the islands as a Major Hurricane. Attached Files

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: VirginGordaResident] #305958 09/07/2023 08:56 AM 09/07/2023 08:56 AM
Joined: Aug 2000 Posts: 82,734 Central Florida! Carol_Hill Traveler
Carol_Hill Traveler Joined: Aug 2000 Posts: 82,734 Central Florida!	As of now, looks to be good news for the BVI and USVI. Folks in the Bahamas and (perhaps Florida again????) need to be aware. Carol Hill

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305962 09/07/2023 09:17 AM 09/07/2023 09:17 AM
Joined: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,658 Memphis, BVI, CT R RatmansWife Traveler
RatmansWife Traveler R Joined: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,658 Memphis, BVI, CT	Wonder if we'll be as lucky with the next one. It's worth watching. We continue to bolster our hurricane defenses, so part of me wants to see how successful those improvements are.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: RatmansWife] #305963 09/07/2023 09:20 AM 09/07/2023 09:20 AM
Joined: Aug 2000 Posts: 82,734 Central Florida! Carol_Hill Traveler
Carol_Hill Traveler Joined: Aug 2000 Posts: 82,734 Central Florida!	Which "next one"?? If you're talking about the red "x" currently on the NHC website, that one is predicted to steer to the north way before it approaches the islands. Of course at this point, we are basically only about halfway through the season.. Carol Hill

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #305969 09/07/2023 11:57 AM 09/07/2023 11:57 AM
Joined: Jul 2016 Posts: 272 Va Beach Kmon Traveler
Kmon Traveler Joined: Jul 2016 Posts: 272 Va Beach	Another low pressure area is supposed to come off of Africa in a few days. Some are saying this one will go on a similar path as Lee has done

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306108 09/11/2023 11:20 AM 09/11/2023 11:20 AM
Joined: Nov 2004 Posts: 61 Charlotte NC gracet03 Traveler
gracet03 Traveler Joined: Nov 2004 Posts: 61 Charlotte NC	Oh i see wind is from the West. What was sailing like with a reversed Wind direction , when the wind is from the WEST. ( caused by LEE circulation.) If one does a trip would you plan a clockwise trip instead of a counterclockwise ? (if there is any sailing?)

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: gracet03] #306109 09/11/2023 11:42 AM 09/11/2023 11:42 AM
Joined: Dec 2019 Posts: 161 18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W D duckfat Traveler
duckfat Traveler D Joined: Dec 2019 Posts: 161 18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W	Originally Posted by gracet03 Oh i see wind is from the West. What was sailing like with a reversed Wind direction , when the wind is from the WEST. ( caused by LEE circulation.) If one does a trip would you plan a clockwise trip instead of a counterclockwise ? (if there is any sailing?) Westerly winds rarely hold for more than a couple of days.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306110 09/11/2023 12:55 PM 09/11/2023 12:55 PM
Joined: Apr 2002 Posts: 7,034 GA/NC GeorgeC1 Traveler
GeorgeC1 Traveler Joined: Apr 2002 Posts: 7,034 GA/NC	I am more concerned about how much sand Lee strips off the N facing beaches.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: GeorgeC1] #306114 09/11/2023 02:31 PM 09/11/2023 02:31 PM
Joined: Dec 2019 Posts: 161 18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W D duckfat Traveler
duckfat Traveler D Joined: Dec 2019 Posts: 161 18°44'42"N 64°24'09"W	Originally Posted by GeorgeC1 I am more concerned about how much sand Lee strips off the N facing beaches. I have a camera on the beach in front of our house on Anegada. So far, the seas have been less than forecast, and have no effect on the beach at all. The northerly wind is bringing us a lot of sargassum, though. Attached Files

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306132 09/12/2023 10:53 AM 09/12/2023 10:53 AM
Joined: Apr 2002 Posts: 7,034 GA/NC GeorgeC1 Traveler
GeorgeC1 Traveler Joined: Apr 2002 Posts: 7,034 GA/NC	Surf is up in CDB today. Pretty rough in White Bay with a wrap around surge.

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306144 09/12/2023 08:02 PM 09/12/2023 08:02 PM
Joined: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,347 USVI LocalSailor Traveler
LocalSailor Traveler Joined: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,347 USVI	https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot...uom=E&time_diff=0&time_label=GMT buoy N. of PR

Re: Keep an Eye on the Tropics [Re: MIDiver] #306371 09/20/2023 01:44 PM 09/20/2023 01:44 PM
Joined: Apr 2019 Posts: 143 Houston, TX Matt W Traveler
Matt W Traveler Joined: Apr 2019 Posts: 143 Houston, TX	Here's the next one to watch. NHC has a 70% chance of development moving towards the Leewards. Euro and GFS are split on intensity. Attached Files

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