I am beginning to wonder if it will even deliver any significant rain once it gets to the BVI. The satellite moisture image shows that it about to leave the supporting equitorial moisture and will have to pass through a lot of extreamly dry air before reaching the islands. Also you can see the upper level shear it will hit tearing the clouds over the lower Windwards. I don't think it is strong enough to make it through there and still have any punch left.

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