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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: Manpot]
#139425
09/04/2017 12:03 PM
09/04/2017 12:03 PM
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,157 Ontario, Canada
warren460
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,157
Ontario, Canada
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We can only hope for an extra sharp turn north real soon. I did not see any suggestion that the turn would not happen. Based on what I read about the high, I have been starting to wonder.
Last edited by warren460; 09/04/2017 12:04 PM.
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: Manpot]
#139430
09/04/2017 03:20 PM
09/04/2017 03:20 PM
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Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
StormJib
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
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Manpot said: There's another nasty looking orange cross behind Irma.. That one will go North. The greater concern is some models(but not the reliable Euro) showing a storm popping up just south of Tortola.
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: mike_arruda]
#139433
09/04/2017 05:33 PM
09/04/2017 05:33 PM
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Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,711 Memphis, BVI, CT
RatmansWife
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,711
Memphis, BVI, CT
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Where do all the charter guests stay if they can't get off island? Some of the hotels, like Maria's, Village Cay, etc., must be pretty vulnerable.
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: RatmansWife]
#139435
09/04/2017 06:06 PM
09/04/2017 06:06 PM
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Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
StormJib
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
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RatmansWife said: Where do all the charter guests stay if they can't get off island? Some of the hotels, like Maria's, Village Cay, etc., must be pretty vulnerable. All depends... some may stay on boats at the dock, others hotels, some in panic will pay anything to get off the island, then there are always shelters just like the locals. Panic will certainly be an issue. The models are now showing extremely low pressures all the way to Florida and well inland into the US. If the mountains of Cuba or Hispaniola do not tear this beast apart the path of destruction will be very long. The key is always to find a place in the lee of something that will never move and where no mud slide or massive flash flood will find you. On some of these islands that can be a challenge.
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: LocalSailor]
#139437
09/04/2017 06:23 PM
09/04/2017 06:23 PM
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Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 35 MARYLAND
Crown31
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 35
MARYLAND
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Where is the "Hurricane Hole"? Is it managed by the local government for all of the fleets or just a customary place where people move their boats?
Brian
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: LocalSailor]
#139439
09/04/2017 06:31 PM
09/04/2017 06:31 PM
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Joined: May 2002
Posts: 17,106 Tortola/ Sonoma, California
Manpot
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 17,106
Tortola/ Sonoma, California
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A couple of things.."Island "Jim Kelly has been housesitting for us and has CRC prepped for the storm. If anyone is stuck I believe CRC will hold up pretty well especially on the ground floor. If you are stuck and need a place let me know..no charge. Jim is moving to his place in Carrot Bay with our cat. If you need this contact me through here or malcolmboyes@earthlink.net Secondly it would be terrific if anyone on island could keep us updated as he storm hits as long as possible..thanks..stay safe..to be honest I would be happier to be there than here and have to watch from afar!
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: Crown31]
#139440
09/04/2017 06:46 PM
09/04/2017 06:46 PM
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Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
StormJib
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
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Crown31 said: Where is the "Hurricane Hole"? Is it managed by the local government for all of the fleets or just a customary place where people move their boats? Paraquita Bay by Brandywine. You pay $350 up front plus your dues to the charter boat round table then a couple of hundred each year in dues or mooring fee per slot. There are not near enough to go around. But, enough to keep the industry in business until insurance and the builders can catch up. http://www.bvimarineassociation.com/downloads/1607PARAQUITA%20BASE%20PLAN%2026%20Jun17.pdf
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: StormJib]
#139443
09/04/2017 07:49 PM
09/04/2017 07:49 PM
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Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 35 MARYLAND
Crown31
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 35
MARYLAND
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Hurricane Hole plan looks like quite the operation. Would be a good place for a webcam about now.
Brian
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: JudyG]
#139446
09/04/2017 09:53 PM
09/04/2017 09:53 PM
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Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
StormJib
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,049
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JudyG said: Just saw that BVI Governor urged evacuation of Anegada and will be providing means to take people to VG or Tortola. Wishing safety for all. JudyG There will be two last chance Ferries at Noon on Tuesday taking people to Virgin Gorda and Tortola. The school on Anegada will be open as a public shelter as well as several public shelters on Tortola.
Last edited by StormJib; 09/04/2017 10:57 PM.
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: RickinAtlanta]
#139448
09/04/2017 10:38 PM
09/04/2017 10:38 PM
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Joined: May 2006
Posts: 886 Louisville, KY
NoelHall
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: May 2006
Posts: 886
Louisville, KY
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My heart is racing and I'm not currently in BVI, nor do I own property in BVI.
Noel Hall "It is humbling indeed, to discover my own opinion is only correct less than 50% of the time." www.noelhall.com
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: JudyG]
#139449
09/04/2017 11:18 PM
09/04/2017 11:18 PM
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Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 3,493 VIRGINIA
BEERMAN
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 3,493
VIRGINIA
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JudyG said: Just saw that BVI Governor urged evacuation of Anegada and will be providing means to take people to VG or Tortola. Wishing safety for all. JudyG Thinking of everyone throughout the islands! Stay positive and stay safe!
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: bagsarepacked]
#139453
09/05/2017 07:37 AM
09/05/2017 07:37 AM
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Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 796 New, Market, MD
skyhawk8519
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 796
New, Market, MD
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My heart is with all of my friends here... our crew is praying with you!
MD Pirates always get their Booty!
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Re: Hurricane Irma 9-5 8am advisory
[Re: Eric_Hill]
#139456
09/05/2017 08:04 AM
09/05/2017 08:04 AM
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Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 11,587
Eric_Hill
OP
Traveler
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OP
Traveler
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 11,587
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Hurricane Irma Special Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 800 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2017
This special advisory is being issued to increase the initial and forecast intensity of Irma.
NOAA and U.S. Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft have recently measured peak flight-level winds of around 170 kt and SFMR winds of around 150 kt. Based on these data the initial intensity has been increased to 150 kt, making Irma an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Some additional strengthening is still possible, but fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next couple of days due to eyewall replacement cycles.
No change was made to the previous track or wind radii forecast.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Irma is expected to affect the northeastern Leeward Islands as an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane, accompanied by life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall. Hurricane warnings are in effect for portions of the Leeward Islands. Preparations should be rushed to completion, as tropical-storm force winds are expected to first arrive in the hurricane warning area later today.
2. Irma is also expected to affect the British and U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico as a dangerous major hurricane beginning tomorrow, with life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall. Hurricane warnings have been issued for these areas, and tropical- storm-force winds are expected to arrive in these areas by early tomorrow.
3. Irma could directly affect Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the Bahamas, and Cuba as an extremely dangerous major hurricane later this week. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Irma and listen to advice given by officials.
4. There is an increasing chance of seeing some impacts from Irma in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys later this week and this weekend. Otherwise, it is still too early to determine what direct impacts Irma might have on the continental United States. However, everyone in hurricane-prone areas should ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 05/1200Z 16.7N 57.7W 150 KT 175 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 17.0N 58.9W 155 KT 180 MPH 24H 06/0600Z 17.7N 61.5W 150 KT 175 MPH 36H 06/1800Z 18.6N 64.2W 145 KT 165 MPH 48H 07/0600Z 19.6N 67.0W 140 KT 160 MPH 72H 08/0600Z 21.2N 72.5W 135 KT 155 MPH 96H 09/0600Z 22.4N 77.2W 135 KT 155 MPH 120H 10/0600Z 24.0N 81.0W 130 KT 150 MPH
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: RatmansWife]
#139458
09/05/2017 08:25 AM
09/05/2017 08:25 AM
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Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 1,909 NC
Fran
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 1,909
NC
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Thoughts and prayers for all of our friends in the islands and FL. May good luck be with you all.
[color:"red"] FRAN[/color] "Yes I am a pirate, 200 years too late"
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Re: Hurricane Watch now and Warning shortly
[Re: ggffrr11]
#139461
09/05/2017 08:59 AM
09/05/2017 08:59 AM
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Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 4,282 Vero Beach, Fl and South Sound...
tpcook
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 4,282
Vero Beach, Fl and South Sound...
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IRMA will be a pivotal moment for myself and all the people of the BVI. I suspect that most structures will not survive the storm. IRMA will be much worse that the storm that sunk the Rhone. The BVI will need a lot of help. Hoping that all my friends remain safe. <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/handshake.gif" alt="" />
tpcook
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