This is the text this morning from NWS for the PR/VI
Increasing tropical moisture is expected on Friday into the weekend with the passage of a surface trough followed by a potentially strong tropical wave for the weekend. Recent model guidance and information from the National Hurricane Center continued to suggest that this system has the potential for further development during the next few days, as it approaches the Leeward Islands. There still remain some inconsistencies in the model guidance but all suggest a very moist and unstable weather pattern for the region through much of the long- term, as we approach the peak of the hurricane season. As previously mentioned there is still some uncertainties between model guidance in the final forecast track and timing of this feature but regardless, the potential for heavy rainfall across the region over the upcoming weekend is high at this time based on the present persistence in model guidance.
A slight improvement in the weather conditions is expected by Monday though Tuesday as the strong Tropical system moves farther away from the region and trailing moisture lingers across the forecast area. A drier airmass and another surge of Saharan dust is so far forecast by the middle of the upcoming workweek.
Mal and Husk, I am in the Central Valley of California and it is so smokey here the shadows in my home this morning are orange. It must be far worse up north.
Its better here in Sonoma than most of the Bay area and its pretty bad here! But..to help the local economy ..off to " Bistro Jeanty" in Yountville for lunch..hey you cant take it with you!!
Storm Carib has the following results for closest point of approach of this storm
"Results for Tortola (18.45N, 64.53W): The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.9N, 64.4W or about 32.3 miles (52.0 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 21 hours and 13 minutes from now (Saturday, August 22 at 6:24AM AST)."
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra * U.S. Virgin Islands * British Virgin Islands * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * St. Martin and St. Barthelemy * Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, and Montserrat
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Cabron to the border with Haiti * The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the border with the Dominican Republic * The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands
Not much going on here from Laura. Had enough rum after the curfew announcements last night to sleep thru most of it. Some heavy rain bands now and a little wind. Haven't lost power yet so the webcam is up and the sound is on if anyone wants to watch how Cane Garden Bay is doing. Website link then click on Sunset Cam.
Husker, I am headed your way in September, from your post, I read the fires are quite near you? It is hard to tell from fire maps I have been reading.
@Toast - Yes, there are quite a few fires around us, but no immediate threats. Thankfully now the normal off shore breeze is back, fog rolling in and smoke starting to clear out a bit. Safe travels.
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