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NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow #262098
08/09/2021 12:02 PM
08/09/2021 12:02 PM
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 122
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smalbany Offline OP
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smalbany  Offline OP
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Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated this morning in association with a low pressure system located about 150 miles east of Barbados. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast to reach portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight, then move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Tuesday, and be near Hispaniola around the middle of this week. Tropical storm watches or warnings could be required today with shorter-than-normal lead times for
portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. In addition, heavy rains and flooding are likely for the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.
Interests in those areas should monitor the progress of this system.

This system will be moving up the Caribbean Sea coast impacting areas like Phillipsburg, Simson Bay, Maho, Mullet, Marigot, and Anguilla.
Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Last edited by smalbany; 08/09/2021 12:04 PM.
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Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262099
08/09/2021 12:16 PM
08/09/2021 12:16 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 76,294
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Sorry, where did you get this part of the post-----"This system will be moving up the Caribbean Sea coast impacting areas like Phillipsburg, Simson Bay, Maho, Mullet, Marigot, and Anguilla." Is that supposed to be a quote from the NHC, as the NHC website does not say that. I THINK, even if this thing forms, which I guess it will, it will cause only high winds and seas, not any kind of tropical storm force winds in SXM.


Carol Hill
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262100
08/09/2021 12:53 PM
08/09/2021 12:53 PM
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 2,089
BVI
Zanshin Online content
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Zanshin  Online Content
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The models tend to agree on this one - the system will pass sufficiently south of St. Martin so that there will only be above-average wind, seas and rainfall

[Linked Image]

Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: Zanshin] #262101
08/09/2021 12:57 PM
08/09/2021 12:57 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 76,294
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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OK, thanks Zanshin. Are you still in St. Lucia?


Carol Hill
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262102
08/09/2021 01:08 PM
08/09/2021 01:08 PM
Joined: Mar 2008
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Zanshin Online content
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Zanshin  Online Content
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Yes, I am. This morning when I woke up that nasty red X on NOAA's page was a mere orange and the forecast was mild. Then, 2 hours later, it was red and I was debating putting out more fenders and doubling up the docklines. But since the storm is going to pass to the north, the counterclockwise rotation will make the wind go against the prevailing trades and the result will be low winds here. At least that's what I'm hoping.

Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: Zanshin] #262103
08/09/2021 01:17 PM
08/09/2021 01:17 PM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 76,294
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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Best wishes. Yes, this one seems to be giving forecasters a run for their money! Hopefully the one behind it isn't a problem either, as it has a lower chance of developing than the first one.


Carol Hill
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262108
08/09/2021 05:13 PM
08/09/2021 05:13 PM
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sxmmartini Offline
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Here is the cone showing it south of SXM...

Attached Files 180526A7-B16D-4988-A6E0-ED06136CCA3E.png
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262117
08/09/2021 07:42 PM
08/09/2021 07:42 PM
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Kennys Offline
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Kennys  Offline
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Will get some rain tomorrow which will be good for our plants .

Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262139
08/10/2021 05:44 AM
08/10/2021 05:44 AM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 1,263
Westchester /NYC
Colour1 Online mad
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Colour1  Online Mad
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In 2019 in October a mild tropical storm had past us the week before, it brought some serious waves to Simpson bay and Beachside villa's. Louise caught this wave with her new camera.

Attached Files BSV waves 2013.jpg
Last edited by Colour1; 08/10/2021 05:45 AM.

Sand Gravity, got to love it!
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262152
08/10/2021 09:12 AM
08/10/2021 09:12 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 76,294
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Carol_Hill  Offline
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8 AM advisory from the National Hurricane Center

has tropical storm warnings for Puerto Rico and the USVI, but no watches or warnings for SXM.

The Daily Herald says to expect a couple of inches of rain and 30 mph winds. Sounds like a good day to stay "home"


Carol Hill
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262166
08/10/2021 10:23 AM
08/10/2021 10:23 AM
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MIA
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irina Offline
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Just a good blow.

Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: irina] #262168
08/10/2021 10:24 AM
08/10/2021 10:24 AM
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,681
Auburn, WA
SXMScubaman Offline
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SXMScubaman  Offline
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And wet too.

Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262174
08/10/2021 11:27 AM
08/10/2021 11:27 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 18,091
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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Closest approach just passed us. We've had some showers this morning, one short squall blew open our windows (they were not secured). 100% clouds just now some bright sky behind, some dark, a normal breeze and the roads are dry. May very well be different elsewhere and perhaps there's a back side to this as the worst was to be his afternoon.

Making chicken soup. That kind of day.


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: BillandElaine] #262176
08/10/2021 11:33 AM
08/10/2021 11:33 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 76,294
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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Maho Beach cam looks pretty rainy right now, but just saw a prop job plane on the runway, so winds must not be too bad..


Carol Hill
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: Carol_Hill] #262178
08/10/2021 11:37 AM
08/10/2021 11:37 AM
Joined: Aug 2000
Posts: 76,294
Central Florida!
Carol_Hill Offline
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11 AM guidance is that it is not yet a tropical cyclone. National Hurricane Center link


Carol Hill
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: smalbany] #262179
08/10/2021 11:43 AM
08/10/2021 11:43 AM
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Posts: 18,091
St Maarten
BillandElaine Offline
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Yes, another squall just came through. Still raining.


Elaine
*********************************
God Bless the broken road....
Re: NOAA Advises Tropical System Coming Tonight/Tomorrow [Re: BillandElaine] #262202
08/10/2021 05:23 PM
08/10/2021 05:23 PM
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sxmmartini Offline
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New invest to watch... The next named storm is GRACE.

Attached Files 6C14756F-2941-458C-A314-BBCE75FC27CB.png

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