Twanger said:
Historically, the odds of a hurricane eye coming within 50 nautical miles of St. Thomas is 2% per week in September.
In the shoulder months of August and October it's 1%.
In July and November it's 0.5%.
Outside that, it's essentially 0%.
In three October trips I encountered one tropical wave and one hurricane. I don't go in October any longer. Yes, it's cheaper. My vacation time is limited. I can afford not to gamble with hurricane season.
