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GeorgeC1 said:
The ATR's are retired now. They were old and tired but they were moved to the mainland after SJU was closed. There will always be a market for smaller aircraft. Delta plans on keeping 125 of the 50 seat CRJ's in their fleet long term. The new generation Turboprops are fantastic aircraft. They fly almost as fast as the jets and can often be turned quicker since they don't need to be fueled. The Bombardiar Q400 can carry up to 86 people, cruise at 400 MPH and operate out of Beef island today with no runway changes. There are bigger and faster turboprops coming!


All of that is true. Whether Delta along with others will be able to afford the pilots and staff to fly the the 50 seater jets is uncertain in the eyes of many. Time and the price of fuel and labor will be the primary factors and no one has a crystal ball to predict either one of those variables. Or maybe Congress will back track and reduce the safety limits Congress put on turboprops and small airline jets? Republic Airlines(the ghost of American Eagle) with 151 of those small jets and turbo props filed for bankruptcy at the end of February. The small 50 seater short hop business is no longer viable. The smartest and most experienced guys in the airline business have all run from it.

What is left out is the turboprop business case (if there is even one) starts falling apart at 300 mile legs. Going back to a BVI tourist model of flying to SJU, or one of the other Caribbean airports to take a turbo prop for one more leg is not a competitive model. No matter what the cost or how big the change and disruption to Trellis Bay the 1st World tourist business in the BVI is dependent on direct jet service from the US to Tortola. The future of Caribbean tourism is direct point to point jet service from the United States. We are not going back to 30 foot boats with air conditioning nor building 60's versions of the Holiday Inn. It is time to channel the energy towards making jet service to EIS work for everyone and creating the best possible outcome for a much changed Trellis Bay.

>300,000 overnight tourist spread evenly is +/-6,000 people each week. The plan is an equal number of tourist visitor 10 months out of the year. During the non peak month a good economy would see locals traveling the other direction on their own holiday or family visits.

Like many of my Canadian friends say. Skate to where the puck is going to be. Some seem to be trying to put the genie back in the bottle and skate to where the puck was long ago with some hope it will come back.